arXiv:2608. 16084v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Neural autoregressive models have rapidly emerged as powerful emulators of high-dimensional chaotic systems, yet their long-term instability and error growth remain poorly understood, leading to ad-hoc solutions.
By Conrad Ainslie, Pedram Hassanzadeh, Michael W. Mahoney, Ashesh Chattopadhyay
The paper introduces a method called model‑constrained randomized Jacobian matching to enforce second‑order consistency when learning chaotic dynamical systems. By comparing Jacobians at randomly perturbed inputs, the approach implicitly penalises Hessian mismatch without computing full Hessian tensors, achieving $O(d^2)$ memory cost. Experiments on Lorenz 63 and Lorenz 96 show that this second‑order supervision reduces invariant‑measure error, improves Lyapunov‑spectrum accuracy, and avoids spurious attractors that plague first‑order methods.
By Shinhoo Kang, Hai V. Nguyen, Tan Bui-Thanh
Neural surrogates for forecasting physical fields from sparse, noisy sensors typically use a spatial window and a temporal history of past snapshots. This study compares the trade‑off between window size and history length against the Bayes‑optimal error, showing that for fields with local dynamics the optimal forecast relies mainly on distant sensors via spatial correlation. Experiments on Burgers flow and the chaotic Kuramoto‑Sivashinsky equation reveal that the benefit of additional snapshots depends on lead time and system stability, leading to design rules that size the window in correlation lengths and split input budgets between window and history based on forecast horizon.
By Ruige Kong
arXiv:2606. 01596v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Learning chaotic dynamical systems from data requires more than short-term predictive accuracy: the learned model must preserve the attractor geometry and its invariant statistics.
By Shinhoo Kang, Hai V. Nguyen, Tan Bui-Thanh
arXiv:2609.13204v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Neural ordinary differential equations use numerical solvers inside the training loop. The solver determines the forward trajectory and also affects th...
By Ziqian Bi, Xin Liang Chia
arXiv:2507. 03631v4 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Extracting interpretable mathematical models from complex dynamical systems is difficult, especially for chaotic dynamics observed with noisy experimental data.
By Anthony G. Chesebro, David Hofmann, Vaibhav Dixit, Earl K. Miller, Richard H. Granger, Alan Edelman, Christopher V. Rackauckas, Lilianne R. Mujica-Parodi, Helmut H. Strey