The paper investigates using open‑weight large language models (LLMs) as both judges and simulated examinees to predict medical exam item difficulty from text alone. LLMs provided absolute difficulty ratings, pairwise comparisons, and response‑based signals such as correctness and option probabilities, which were combined with baseline features to improve predictions. The best models achieved Spearman correlations of .447 on USMLE and .494 on PANCE, surpassing prior shared‑task systems and matching proprietary models, demonstrating that LLM signals capture difficulty information beyond traditional text representations.
By Xiaomeng Xiong, Marcus Walker, Yanlin Jiang
arXiv:2511. 21692v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: We investigate how well large language models (LLMs) generalize across different task difficulties, a key question for effective data curation and evaluation.
By Yeganeh Kordi, Nihal V. Nayak, Max Zuo, Ilana Nguyen, Stephen H. Bach
The study introduces MedQADE, a German open‑response clinical benchmark with 3,800 question‑answer pairs and physician reference annotations. It evaluates large language models (LLMs) as judges, finding that while some LLMs (e.g., Gemini 3 Flash) achieve physician‑level agreement on correctness, they exhibit self‑bias and low abstention rates. Physicians showed moderate agreement on correctness but limited agreement on difficulty, and their abstention increased with perceived difficulty.
By William Philipp, Finn Fassbender, Daniel Fister, Thorsten Langer, Martje G. Pauly, Rebecca Herzog, Markus A. Hobert, Theresa Paulus, Alexander Baumann, Chi Wang Ip, Lukas L. Goede, Johanna Reimer, Sebastian L\"ons, Ronald B\"ock, Sebastian Fudickar
arXiv:2607. 28634v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: The estimation of item difficulty plays a key role in both formative assessment and large-scale high-stakes summative assessments.
By Xinyi Wang, Hong Jiao, Ming Li, Sydney Peters, Hanna Choi, Tianyi Zhou, Qingshu Xu
arXiv:2607. 26067v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly used for estimating item difficulty in educational assessment.
By Amanda La Hadi, Muhammad Johan Alibasa, Guanliang Chen, A. Taufiq Asyhari
arXiv:2607. 02175v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Multiple-choice medical benchmarks are increasingly saturated, and recent rubric-based evaluations such as HealthBench have shown that open-ended clinical performance is far from solved - its "Hard" subset top score remains 32%.
By Samiha A. Ismail, Fan X. Chen, Ali Merali