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arXiv:2610.31968v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Accurate ambulance travel time estimation is critical for emergency medical dispatch, yet existing decision-support practices often rely on static look...
HealthMamba is an uncertainty‑aware spatiotemporal graph state space model designed to predict healthcare facility visits more accurately and reliably. It integrates a Unified Spatiotemporal Context Encoder, a novel GraphMamba module for hierarchical modeling, and a comprehensive uncertainty quantification component. Evaluated on large‑scale datasets from California, New York, Texas, and Florida, it improves prediction accuracy by about 6.0% and uncertainty quantification by 3.5% over state‑of‑the‑art baselines.
This study analyzes 2,850,575 ambulance attendances in Victoria, Australia, to quantify ambulance ramping—the delay between hospital arrival and patient handover—across 59 hospitals and 79 local government areas from January 2020 to March 2024. It finds that cumulative ambulance hours lost (AHL) totalled 1,491,127 hours, with ten hospitals accounting for 57.8 % of lost hours. Ramping duration increases with the number of ambulances arriving at the same hospital in the preceding hour and shows a moderate correlation with hourly demand two to four hours later.
arXiv:2512.08281v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Accurate and reliable aircraft landing time prediction is essential for effective resource allocation in air traffic management. However, the...
The paper introduces egRUE, an explainable uncertainty estimation method that merges uncertainty quantification with feature‑level explanations for medical AI predictions. egRUE incorporates prediction explanations into its uncertainty calculation and decomposes uncertainty into contributions from individual features. Experiments and a user study with medical experts show that egRUE improves reliability, interpretability, and calibrated trust compared to existing methods.
arXiv:2511. 23276v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Effective HFMD surveillance requires forecasts capturing both time-series patterns and contextual drivers such as school calendars, weather, and policy or surveillance reports.