arXiv AI
1d ago

AdaMamba: Adaptive Frequency-Gated Mamba for Long-Term Time Series Forecasting

AdaMamba introduces an adaptive frequency-gated Mamba architecture for long‑term time series forecasting. The model integrates an interaction learning module that captures cross‑variable dependencies and multi‑scale context, and an adaptive frequency‑gated state space module that generates context‑dependent frequency bases and unifies temporal forgetting into a single time‑frequency gate. Experiments on seven public benchmarks and four domain‑specific datasets show that AdaMamba consistently outperforms state‑of‑the‑art baselines while remaining computationally efficient.

By Xudong Jiang, Mingshan Loo, Wengen Li, Mingrui Zhang, Jihong Guan, Shuigeng Zhou
arXiv AI
Aug 10

Seeking SOTA: Time-Series Forecasting Must Adopt Taxonomy-Specific Evaluation to Dispel Illusory Gains

arXiv:2603. 15506v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: We argue that the current practice of evaluating AI/ML time-series forecasting models, predominantly on benchmarks characterized by strong, persistent periodicities and seasonalities, obscures real progress by overlooking the performance of efficient classical methods.

By Raeid Saqur, Christoph Bergmeir, Blanka Horvath, Daniel Schmidt, Frank Rudzicz, Terry Lyons
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 29

FLAME: Flow Enhanced Legendre Memory Models for General Time Series Forecasting

FLAME is a lightweight Time Series Foundation Model that uses Legendre Memory variants (LegT and LegS) in its encoding and decoding stages to capture inductive biases and perform efficient long‑range forecasting. It incorporates a normalizing‑flow forecasting head to generate complex probabilistic distributions over future horizons. Experiments on TSFM‑Bench, ProbTS, and TFB show FLAME performs strongly as an out‑of‑the‑box tool for decision intelligence.

By Xingjian Wu, Zhengyu Li, Hanyin Cheng, Xiangfei Qiu, Jilin Hu, Chenjuan Guo, Bin Yang