TimeES: Probabilistic and Deterministic Time Series Forecasting via Evolutionary Spectra
Read the original on arXiv Machine Learning →The Flow has not summarised this story yet — read it at arXiv Machine Learning.
The Flow has not summarised this story yet — read it at arXiv Machine Learning.
AdaMamba introduces an adaptive frequency-gated Mamba architecture for long‑term time series forecasting. The model integrates an interaction learning module that captures cross‑variable dependencies and multi‑scale context, and an adaptive frequency‑gated state space module that generates context‑dependent frequency bases and unifies temporal forgetting into a single time‑frequency gate. Experiments on seven public benchmarks and four domain‑specific datasets show that AdaMamba consistently outperforms state‑of‑the‑art baselines while remaining computationally efficient.
arXiv:2603. 15506v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: We argue that the current practice of evaluating AI/ML time-series forecasting models, predominantly on benchmarks characterized by strong, persistent periodicities and seasonalities, obscures real progress by overlooking the performance of efficient classical methods.
arXiv:2608. 14682v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Real-world time series inherently intertwine global periodic structures with localized non-stationary variations.
FLAME is a lightweight Time Series Foundation Model that uses Legendre Memory variants (LegT and LegS) in its encoding and decoding stages to capture inductive biases and perform efficient long‑range forecasting. It incorporates a normalizing‑flow forecasting head to generate complex probabilistic distributions over future horizons. Experiments on TSFM‑Bench, ProbTS, and TFB show FLAME performs strongly as an out‑of‑the‑box tool for decision intelligence.
arXiv:2606. 06010v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Long-term time series forecasting benefits from inductive biases that expose recurring temporal structure.
arXiv:2610.32189v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Unsupervised multivariate time series anomaly prediction (AP) aims to estimate future anomaly risks from current observations, providing early-warning...