arXiv Machine Learning

EVOLVE: Uncertainty-Aware Multivariate Time Series Anomaly Prediction with Adaptive Prototype Memories

arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 24

CAST: Context- and Anomaly Structure-Conditioned Time Series Anomaly Generation

CAST is a framework for generating anomalous time series that addresses the scarcity and heterogeneity of anomaly data. It uses a two‑stage approach: pretraining on abundant normal data to learn system dynamics, then finetuning with anomaly structure representations to capture diverse anomaly morphologies. Experiments on real‑world datasets show that CAST outperforms existing methods in both generation quality and downstream task performance.

By Haochen Zhang, Jie Peng, Songyuan Sui, Yu-Chao Huang, Xiangqi Zhu, Tianlong Chen
arXiv Machine Learning
Oct 22

Structured Temporal Causality for Interpretable Multivariate Time Series Anomaly Detection

Structured Temporal Causality for Interpretable Multivariate Time Series Anomaly Detection introduces OracleAD, an unsupervised framework that encodes each variable’s past into a causal embedding to jointly predict the present and reconstruct the input window. The embeddings are projected via self‑attention into a shared latent space, capturing dynamic spatial relationships that are aligned to a Stable Latent Structure (SLS) representing normal-state relationships. Anomalies are detected through a dual scoring mechanism based on prediction error and deviation from the SLS, allowing fine‑grained diagnosis and root‑cause identification at the variable level.

By Dongchan Cho, Jiho Han, Keumyeong Kang, Minsang Kim, Honggyu Ryu, Namsoon Jung
arXiv Machine Learning
Oct 8

MORA: Modeling Observed Changes for Drift-Robust Time-Series Anomaly Detection

MORA is a drift‑robust time‑series anomaly detection framework that addresses the ambiguity between distribution drift and true anomalies by defining a temporal change disambiguation problem. It reconstructs a local target from paired short‑ and long‑term views, using the reconstruction gap as a measure of contextual support to adjust the primary anomaly score. The method requires no drift annotations or online adaptation and demonstrates strong robustness to non‑stationarity while maintaining sensitivity to genuine anomalies on four TSAD benchmarks.

By Xudong Mou, Tiejun Wang, Rui Wang, Hui Wang, Pin Liu, Tianyu Wo, Xudong Liu, Renyu Yang
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 15

Exploring Zero-Shot Foundation Models for Multivariate Time Series Anomaly Detection

arXiv:2607. 12454v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Multivariate Time Series Anomaly Detection (MTSAD) is essential for reliability and safety in domains such as industrial process monitoring and financial risk management, yet conventional approaches rely on application-specific models that are costly to train and hard to scale.

By Martin Uray, Saverio Messineo, Roland Kwitt, Stefan Huber