ScoringBench is an open, extensible benchmark that evaluates tabular regression models using a comprehensive set of proper scoring rules—such as weighted CRPS, energy scores, and interval scores—alongside traditional point metrics like RMSE. It covers 101 datasets from diverse domains and offers two ranking protocols: an ordinal Demsar/autorank approach and a magnitude‑preserving z‑score ranking. Experiments show that model rankings vary with the chosen scoring rule, revealing that evaluation metric selection is a core modeling decision, especially when different error types have varying consequences.
By Jonas Landsgesell, Pascal Knoll, Tizian Wenzel
arXiv:2607. 26000v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Tabular Foundation Models (TFMs) have emerged as novel approaches for tabular predictive tasks, demonstrating competitive predictive performance to ensemble tree-based models.
By Malena Loza, David Chushig-Muzo, Eva Milara, Luis Bote-Curiel, Luis Estrada-Petrocelli, Felipe Grijalva
Xiaomi-TabLDM is a tabular foundation model that performs classification and regression via in-context learning without task‑specific fine‑tuning. It is pretrained solely on synthetic data from structural causal models, achieving top‑ranked regression results on multiple benchmarks while reducing training and prediction time compared to leading models. The architecture incorporates a three‑stage training strategy, dual‑stream feature grouping, lightweight attention residuals, and sparse mixture‑of‑experts, and it can further improve accuracy through test‑time compute scaling.
By TabLDM Team, Penghui Wang, Wei Liu, Hong Wang, Chengyue Huang, Yuxi Sun, Zirui Wang, Hongming Huang, Quan Wang, Chunxiao Liu, Erli Meng, Bin Wang
EXAONE Tabular 1.0 is a compact tabular foundation model family that performs classification and regression via in-context learning without dataset-specific gradient updates. It is pretrained exclusively on a synthetic structural‑causal‑model prior and introduces an architecture‑centered redesign that interleaves feature‑axis and item‑axis attention within each Transformer layer, mediated by summary tokens. Across four public benchmarks, its 20.81 M‑parameter classification model ranks first on TabArena, surpassing tuned ensembles and AutoML pipelines, while its regression model matches the performance of a 1.64 B‑parameter model at roughly one‑eleventh the inference cost, and it achieves top rankings on BCCO, TALENT, and ScoringBench.
By Moonjung Eo, Min-Kook Suh, Hye-Seung Cho, Jiwon Kim, Seoyoon Kim, Sangjun Nam, Soonyoung Lee
Mitra‑v2 is a tabular foundation model that achieves state‑of‑the‑art performance on a wide range of real‑world classification and regression tasks, including credit‑risk scoring, clinical prediction, equipment‑failure detection, and house‑price estimation. Trained solely on synthetic data with a larger and more diverse pretraining distribution than its predecessor, it uses a compact 2D Transformer backbone and improved optimization to handle longer contexts and larger feature spaces. On the TabArena and TALENT benchmarks, Mitra‑v2 outperforms leading models such as TabPFN‑3 and TabICLv2, matching the performance of a 1.6B‑parameter TabFM with only 77M parameters, and ranks first on multi‑class classification tasks with more than ten classes.
By Yefan Tao (Bernie), Xiyuan Zhang (Bernie), Xinyi Liu (Bernie), Boran Han (Bernie), Danielle Maddix (Bernie), Haoyang Fang (Bernie), Zhen Han (Bernie), Jiading Gai (Bernie), Xuanqing Liu (Bernie), Michael Bohlke-Schneider (Bernie), Yuyang (Bernie), Wang, Gerald Friedland, Kevan Mah, Chris Lee, Chris Kong
arXiv:2606. 29403v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Conformal prediction guarantees marginal coverage, but pooled calibration averages over heterogeneous regions and can mask regional undercoverage in safety-critical subgroups.
By Louis Berthier, Ahmed Shokry, Maxime Moreaud, Guillaume Ramelet, Aymeric Dieuleveut