The study evaluates deep learning surrogates for wildfire spread prediction, training four architectures on 10,584 high‑resolution simulations from Catalonia. Results show that only surface fuel load significantly predicts burn probability, and convolutional models mainly use distance to the fire front while a transformer model emphasizes fuel and terrain. When applied to a new region without retraining, the models still perform reasonably, with only a modest accuracy drop.
By Marcin Lawenda, Aleksandra Krasicka, David Caballero, Luis Torres, {\L}ukasz Szustak
arXiv:2607. 16472v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Over the past decades, the frequency of global wildfires has been increasing steadily.
By Yugong Zeng, Jonathan Wu
arXiv:2606.10174v2 Announce Type: replace
Abstract: Wildfire detection and monitoring are critical for mitigating fire spread and reducing environmental and infrastructural damage. In this work, we i...
By Emadeldeen Hamdan, Yingyi Luo, B. Ugur Toreyin, Erdem Koyuncu, Adam J. Watts, Ugur Gudukbay, Ahmet Enis Cetin
The paper presents modular deep learning augmentations for next‑day wildfire spread prediction, including wind‑ and slope‑conditioned attention biases, physics‑feature retrieval‑augmented output correction, and fire‑conditioned dual‑stream gating. These modules are evaluated on five backbone models using the Next Day Wildfire Spread benchmark, with staged ablations, directional audits, retrieval perturbations, calibration measures, and computational comparisons. The best augmented SwinUNETR model achieves an F1 score of 0.4216 and an AUC‑PR of 0.3673, while a mixed ensemble reaches 0.4292 and 0.3790, demonstrating that predictive performance, operational trustworthiness, and computational practicality can be simultaneously improved.
By Miguel Esparza, Aydin Ayanzadeh Ahmad Mousavi, Ali Mostafavi
The paper proposes a data-driven protocol that uses multispectral Landsat‑8 imagery and connected‑component analysis to characterize fire‑region size distributions for active wildfire segmentation. Three segmentation architectures—U‑Net, DeepLabV3+, and SegFormer—are evaluated under different SWIR‑based spectral configurations, with U‑Net showing the strongest robustness and SWIR2 consistently delivering the best results. The study highlights the importance of both spectral band selection and architectural design for robust satellite‑based active wildfire mapping, especially when training on low fire‑pixel density images.
By Matheus F. Kovaleski, Cristiano Premebida, Jo\~ao Ruivo Paulo
arXiv:2603.02465v2 Announce Type: replace-cross
Abstract: Machine learning-based wildfire detection has advanced significantly using deep learning models trained on large wildfire image and video dat...
By Emadeldeen Hamdan, Ahmad Faiz Tharima, Mohd Zahirasri Mohd Tohir, Dayang Nur Sakinah Musa, Erdem Koyuncu, Adam J. Watts, Ahmet Enis Cetin