arXiv AI By Yang Li, Di Wan, Yike Wang, Chujun He, Zongsi Xu, Xiyu Chen, Sheng Zhong, Deng Binjie, Zhenwei Guo, Hou Jun, Kunhan Guo, Weihao Lin, Tuo Zhou, Hai Liu, Ye Luo

S$^2$-MAS: A Society-Scale Multi-Agent Simulation Framework with 500 Million Household Persona Agents

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S$^2$-MAS is a society‑scale multi‑agent simulation framework that models 500 million synthetic household personas based on real‑survey data. Its Genese engine separates decision making from state updates, while FinL‑mlx, a compact decision model trained on 2.93 million examples, achieves high accuracy in consumer financial‑choice scenarios. The framework evaluates eight financial task families and simulates 12 million distinct agents, revealing how purchase goals, credit limits, and demographic factors influence consumption, cash flow, debt repayment, and arrears over a 24‑month panel.

Machine-generated by The Flow from the publisher's headline and feed description — not written or checked by a human. The full article lives at arXiv AI.

arXiv AI
6d ago

S$^2$-MAS: A Society-Scale Multi-Agent Simulation Framework with a 500-Million-Persona Resource

S$^2$-MAS is a multi‑agent simulation framework that uses 500 million synthetic household personas to model economic responses at society scale. It integrates trainable candidate‑scoring policies, reusable financial scenarios, and explicit state transitions, and has been trained on 2.93 million examples to achieve high accuracy on consumer financial‑choice tasks. Experiments demonstrate the framework’s ability to evaluate millions of households across different purchase‑funding conditions, revealing heterogeneous consumption and repayment patterns driven by policy decisions and accounting rules.

By Yang Li, Yike Wang, Di Wan, Chujun He, Zongsi Xu, Yitao Yu, Shuai Zhong, Minghao Pan, Quanfeng Lu, Xiyu Chen, Sheng Zhong, Deng Binjie, Yichen Guo, Zhenwei Guo, Hou Jun, Kunhan Guo, Weihao Lin, Tuo Zhou, Hai Liu, Chenwei Wu, Jianyuan Zhong, Xilin Dai, Ye Luo
arXiv AI
Oct 27

FraudSociety: A Generative Agent-Based Society for the Financial-Fraud Economy

FraudSociety is a novel LLM‑agent‑based simulator that jointly models informational and financial dynamics in the financial‑fraud economy. It features a dynamic social environment, persistent financial ledgers, and a Need‑Intent‑Action architecture, allowing fraudsters to adapt their actions based on interaction histories and ledger states. Validation shows macro‑level outcomes match real‑world patterns, micro‑level loss concentration aligns with Canadian statistics, and personalized interventions can dramatically reduce repeat‑payment rates.

By Keyang Chen, Mingxuan Jiang, Zeping Li, Yiwen Zhao, Yifan Wang, Qiuyang Zhang, Shuaicheng Qi, Yicun Liu, Zhixin Li, Sen Liu, Yinan Jing, Guangnan Ye, Hongfeng Chai
arXiv AI
1d ago

Decision Models as Scalable Economic Surrogates that Capture Human Variation

Decision Models (DMs) are a new class of AI models that provide fast responses and output a probability distribution over a fixed set of options. In a first evaluation, 10 DMs were compared with 8 Large Language Models (LLMs) across three economic settings—a household spending survey, classic economic games, and a labour‑market field experiment. Frontier DMs, those scoring highest on general decision‑making benchmarks, reproduced human response variation more closely than LLMs in all settings, matched LLMs on modal responses in the spending survey, and were roughly ten times faster and over a hundred times cheaper than the fastest LLM.

By Maxime Saxena, Fabio Caccioli, R. Maria del Rio-Chanona