arXiv:2606. 02798v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Many decision-support settings require systems that adapt to individual users, but evaluation data for this problem remain limited.
arXiv:2604. 07343v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Pluralistic alignment has emerged as a critical frontier in the development of Large Language Models (LLMs), with reward models (RMs) serving as a central mechanism for capturing diverse human values.
arXiv:2606. 24162v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Foundation models have been increasingly applied to behavioral science domains such as psychology, sociology, and economics.
arXiv:2604. 01206v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: We present RELISH (REgression with a Latent Iterative State Head), a novel, lightweight architecture designed for text regression with large language models.
arXiv:2607. 11889v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Large language models trained on unrestricted internet corpora inevitably embed information from the future, introducing lookahead bias that compromises the validity of backtests and causal inference in finance and the social sciences.
The paper argues that verbalized confidence—once viewed as overconfident and coarse—has become the preferred soft‑scoring method for LLM‑as‑a‑Judge on top‑tier proprietary models released after 2025. Experiments on SummEval, AggreFact, and HelpSteer2 across up to 18 LLMs show that log‑probabilities are no longer the best signal, and that adding an overconfidence advisory and self‑debate further improves calibration and robustness. The authors note that these enhancements incur little accuracy loss on post‑2025 models but do affect pre‑2025 ones, highlighting a compatibility shift in how confidence should be measured.
arXiv:2607. 26348v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly used as synthetic users, stand-ins for human respondents whose simulated answers feed product, policy, and market decisions.
arXiv:2605. 11954v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly used in social science as scalable measurement tools for converting unstructured text into variables that can enter standard empirical designs.
arXiv:2411. 10109v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Machine learning can predict human behavior well when substantial structured data are available for well-defined outcomes.
arXiv:2610.07062v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Large language models are increasingly used to simulate how individuals respond to new situations, yet the behavioral reasoning behind these response...
The paper introduces OTROPE, a likelihood‑free method for off‑policy evaluation of large language models (LLMs) that uses optimal transport to align labeled samples from a behavior model with unlabeled samples from a target model in a semantic space. OTROPE corrects human‑labeled residuals with proxy predictors, achieving a doubly robust evaluation without requiring behavior‑policy modeling or density‑ratio estimation. The authors provide theoretical guarantees for consistency and convergence, and demonstrate through synthetic and real LLM tasks that OTROPE outperforms existing baselines and can elevate weaker evaluators to match or exceed stronger ones.
arXiv:2609.13148v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Large language models are increasingly deployed as synthetic consumer panels, promising $97\%$ cost reductions over traditional surveys. Yet aggregat...