arXiv:2610.31959v1 Announce Type: cross
Abstract: Short-term building load forecasting remains challenging because load patterns can change rapidly with weather and operating conditions. Data-driven...
By Shiqiao Zhou, Huanbo Lyu, Holger Sch\"oner, Zipeng Wu, Jessica Deuschel, Freya Wentzel, IAG Wilson, Shuo Wang
arXiv:2603. 15802v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: In many time series forecasting settings, the target time series is accompanied by exogenous covariates, such as promotions and prices in retail demand; temperature in energy load; calendar and holiday indicators for traffic or sales; and grid load or fuel costs in electricity pricing.
By Andres Potapczynski, Ravi Kiran Selvam, Tatiana Konstantinova, Malcolm Wolff, Kin G. Olivares, Ruijun Ma, Michael W. Mahoney, Andrew Gordon Wilson, Boris N. Oreshkin, Dmitry Efimov
The paper investigates how different calendar feature encodings influence the performance of covariate-informed time series foundation models (TSFMs). Seven encoding schemes—three target‑agnostic (ordinal, one‑hot, cyclic) and four target‑based—are systematically compared across four state‑of‑the‑art TSFMs on nine datasets that reflect social activity patterns such as weekends and holidays. Results show that encoding choice can change forecast accuracy by up to 9.9 % on non‑holidays and 83 % on holidays, with improvements mainly around holidays and varying effects across models.
By Alexander Kreusel, Maximilian Beichter, Alexandra Nikoltchovska, Benjamin Sch\"afer, Ralf Mikut, Frederik Zahn, Veit Hagenmeyer
arXiv:2607. 14871v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: In many operational time-series forecasting applications, such as crowd demand forecasting, the risk related to under-prediction is substantially higher than that of over-prediction.
By Theivaprakasham Hari, Yanan Xin, Winnie Daamen, Serge Paul Hoogendoorn, Sascha Hoogendoorn-Lanser
arXiv:2608. 00402v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Estimated Time of Arrival (ETA) prediction is a core component of intelligent transportation systems.
By Yanming Lyu, Yue Cheng, Lingkun Li, Ruipeng Gao, Xinyue Liu, Hui Gao, Qiang Ni
arXiv:2406. 14399v4 Announce Type: replace Abstract: The development of Time-Series Forecasting (TSF) models is often constrained by the lack of comprehensive datasets, especially in Global Station Weather Forecasting (GSWF), where existing datasets are small, temporally short, and spatially sparse.
By Tao Han, Zhibin Wen, Zhenghao Chen, Dazhao Du, Song Guo, Lei Bai