Predictive Likelihood Ratios for Language Model Watermark Detection
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arXiv:2607. 00224v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Watermarking promises a statistical trace of large language model (LLM) use, but real documents, after editing or paraphrasing, rarely arrive as purely human-written or purely machine-generated.
arXiv:2606. 18430v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Statistical watermarks help organizations attribute large language model (LLM) outputs, yet existing detectors often struggle when watermark signals are weak, texts are repetitive, or watermarks are edited.
arXiv:2608. 14906v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Watermarking provides a principled way to authenticate text generated by large language models (LLMs).
arXiv:2506.22343v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Text watermarks in large language models (LLMs) are an increasingly important tool for detecting synthetic text and distinguishing human-writ...
arXiv:2607. 18445v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Regulatory regimes such as the EU AI Act mandate machine-readable marking of synthetic text, but existing watermark detectors rely on the generating LM and on heuristic thresholds with no closed-form calibration.
The paper investigates latent‑space watermarking using pretrained generators, where a watermark encoder selects latent inputs based on a message and secret key to produce outputs with a specified conditional distribution. For finite alphabets, it derives inner and outer bounds on the rate–key trade‑off and characterizes the capacity region when the generator’s output uniquely determines the latent distribution. The study extends to jointly Gaussian models, identifies key sufficient statistics, optimally allocates secret‑key resources across modes, and analyzes robustness against regeneration attacks, providing compound capacity results and decay rates for repeated attacks.