arXiv:2603. 15506v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: We argue that the current practice of evaluating AI/ML time-series forecasting models, predominantly on benchmarks characterized by strong, persistent periodicities and seasonalities, obscures real progress by overlooking the performance of efficient classical methods.
By Raeid Saqur, Christoph Bergmeir, Blanka Horvath, Daniel Schmidt, Frank Rudzicz, Terry Lyons
arXiv:2601. 16632v4 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Time series forecasting has witnessed significant progress with deep learning.
By Haonan Yang, Jianchao Tang, Zhuo Li
arXiv:2607. 00154v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Evolutionary neural architecture design for multivariate time-series forecasting remains underexplored, with most approaches relying on fixed Transformer architectures despite substantial variation across tasks and forecasting settings.
By AbdElRahman ElSaid, Damir Pulatov
arXiv:2510. 04487v5 Announce Type: replace Abstract: While accuracy is a critical requirement for time series forecasting, an equally important desideratum is reasonable forecast volatility across forecast creation dates (FCDs).
By Willa Potosnak, Malcolm Wolff, Mengfei Cao, Ruijun Ma, Tatiana Konstantinova, Dmitry Efimov, Michael W. Mahoney, Boris Oreshkin, Kin G. Olivares
arXiv:2509. 24517v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Development of modern deep learning methods has been driven primarily by the push for improving model efficacy (accuracy metrics), leading to large-scale models that require massive computational resources and result in considerable carbon footprint across the model lifecycle.
By Sophia N. Wilson, Jens Hesselbjerg Christensen, Raghavendra Selvan
arXiv:2606. 10678v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Transformer-based models have emerged as leading paradigms in time-series forecasting in recent years, employing self-attention mechanisms to capture long-range dependencies.
By Amrijit Biswas, Mustafa Kamal, Robin Krambroeckers, M. M. Lutfe Elahi, Sifat Momen, Nabeel Mohammed, Shafin Rahman