arXiv:2607. 19518v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Sophisticated Inference is a variant of active inference often associated with recursive belief modeling and tree search.
By Wouter W. L. Nuijten, Bert de Vries
arXiv:2606. 04935v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Active inference casts decision-making as inference, with the Expected Free Energy (EFE) unifying goal-directed and information-seeking behavior.
By Wouter W. L. Nuijten, Mykola Lukashchuk, Thijs van de Laar, Bert de Vries
arXiv:2607. 17674v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: A language model $p_\theta(y \mid x)$ trained on reasoning tasks learns to solve problems via multiple distinct strategies, yet these strategies are implicit and entangled within the model's response distribution.
By Awni Altabaa, John Lafferty
arXiv:2610.15046v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Beliefs in a Partially Observable Markov Decision Process (POMDP) are posterior distributions over the hidden state given the agent's history of action...
By Christopher Solinas, Radovan Halu\v{s}ka, Martin Schmid, Michael Buro, Nathan R. Sturtevant, Michael Bowling
The paper introduces a Bethe Lagrangian formulation of expected free energy (EFE) that preserves a Kullback–Leibler structure, enabling message‑passing inference. By imposing an information constraint—requiring the mutual information between future observations, states, and parameters given actions to be at least the entropy of the goal prior—the authors recover the standard EFE solution at a specific Karush‑Kuhn‑Tucker multiplier. They analyze how varying this multiplier transitions the agent’s epistemic drive through inactive, interior, and saturated regimes, and benchmark the constrained Bethe agent against EFE and Q‑MDP on three tasks.
By Wouter M. Kouw
arXiv:2605. 08446v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Bayesian neural networks are typically trained against the evidence lower bound (ELBO), whose Jensen gap closes only when the variational posterior is exact.
By Pavel Prochazka