arXiv AI By Tianlei Zhu, Matt White, Xue Liu, Xiao-Yang Liu

NumTrace: Auditing the Number Provenance of Financial Analyst Agents

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NumTrace is a benchmark that audits the provenance of numerical claims made by financial analyst agents, checking each claim’s source and financial semantics. It contains 540 questions drawn from 2,163 SEC EDGAR documents and evaluates claims on three verdicts: value, binding, and support. The benchmark identifies right-number‑wrong‑account (RNWA) errors, revealing that 67.5–81.8% of failing claims from agents like Claude Opus 5.5, GPT‑6 Astra, and DeepSeek‑V4.1‑Flash are RNWA errors, especially in 13F co‑filing questions where most claims pass the value check but fewer than half pass the binding check.

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