Let Confidence Change, Not the Prediction: Prediction-Preserving Repair for Post-hoc Calibration
Read the original on arXiv Machine Learning →The Flow has not summarised this story yet — read it at arXiv Machine Learning.
The Flow has not summarised this story yet — read it at arXiv Machine Learning.
Signal‑Routed Temperature Scaling (SRTS‑BCE) is a 10‑parameter, argmax‑preserving calibration method that separates calibration objectives from adaptive capacity. It cross‑fits a correctness‑risk score over six logit statistics and assigns a top‑label BCE temperature to each of three risk groups, generalizing TvA‑TS when K=1. Experiments on fine‑tuned CIFAR‑100 and ViT‑B/16 show that SRTS‑BCE reduces ECE from 1.65 to 0.96 with a small calibration budget, outperforming higher‑capacity SMART+BCE when only 250 examples are available, and revealing a budget‑dependent ranking reversal on Swin‑T.
arXiv:2410.18321v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Confidence calibration matters wherever a classifier's probabilities, not just its labels, are consumed downstream. We study Focal Calibration Loss...
arXiv:2606. 20364v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: A companion study established a de-biased, cross-model VLM-as-3D-judge that reliably ranks single-image-to-3D mesh quality where cheap geometry and CLIP proxies fall short.
arXiv:2608. 10372v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Post-hoc calibration aligns a classifier's predicted confidences with its empirical accuracy without retraining.
arXiv:2512.04305v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Vision-language models (VLMs) such as CLIP are increasingly adapted across decentralized data silos, yet the reliability of their predictions under...
Reliable confidence estimates are essential in semantic segmentation, especially in safety-critical settings where overconfident errors can mislead downstream decisions. Yet modern segmentation models often remain miscalibrated.