arXiv Computation and Language By Noah Dasanaike

Large Language Models Naively Recover Ethnicity from Individual Records

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The paper shows that large language models can infer ethnicity from names with higher accuracy than Bayesian Improved Surname Geocoding (BISG), achieving up to 84.7% accuracy on balanced samples from Florida and North Carolina voter files. Six models, including Gemini 3 Flash, GPT‑4o, and open‑source alternatives, were tested, with extended reasoning and metadata such as party registration further improving performance. The method also reduces income bias present in BISG and is validated across diverse populations in India, Uganda, Nepal, Armenia, Chile, and Costa Rica, with fine‑tuned small transformer models surpassing BISG while allowing local deployment at no cost.

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