Investigating Statistical Inference and Covariate Effects in Shallow Neural Networks
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The paper introduces a control‑variable framework for deep neural networks to mitigate omitted variable bias, particularly shortcut learning where covariates like demographics influence predictions. It refits the final layer of a pre‑trained network using cross‑fitting with ridge penalisation, orthogonalises covariate effects, and marginalises predictions over covariate distributions to achieve unbiased, interpretable results. Experiments on simulated images and neuroimaging data show consistent estimation of true effects and performance close to models trained on unconfounded data.
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ICON Decomposition is a new method for explaining deep neural networks by quantifying how much variance each concept explains in a network layer after accounting for all other concepts and the outcome. Unlike previous concept‑based methods that evaluate concepts in isolation, ICON can distinguish genuine model reliance from spurious correlations. Experiments on synthetic data, skin‑lesion, and brain‑imaging models show that ICON recovers concept importance more accurately, isolates truly relied‑upon concepts, and provides sparse explanations validated through retraining and out‑of‑distribution testing.
The paper introduces ICON Decomposition, a method for auditing deep neural networks by decomposing layer-wise representations into independent concept contributions. Unlike existing techniques that rely on linear probes or concept activation vectors, ICON quantifies the variance share each concept explains while conditioning on all other concepts and the outcome, allowing comparison across layers and concept types. Experiments on simulated data, skin‑cancer, and neuroimaging models show that ICON more accurately recovers true concept importance and can distinguish learned shortcuts from correlated concepts, as validated by retraining and out‑of‑distribution tests.
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