Intervene, Calibrate, Discover: Learning Causal Structure from Pixels
Read the original on arXiv AI →The Flow has not summarised this story yet — read it at arXiv AI.
The Flow has not summarised this story yet — read it at arXiv AI.
arXiv:2606. 11745v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Visual causal reasoning is essential for understanding and intervening in the physical world, requiring identification of causal variables from visual inputs and reasoning over intervention effects.
arXiv:2606. 05966v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Understanding and reasoning about the physical world is the foundation of intelligent behavior, yet state-of-the-art vision-language models (VLMs) still fail at causal physical reasoning, often producing plausible but incorrect answers.
arXiv:2603. 02204v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Selective conformal prediction can yield substantially tighter uncertainty sets when we can identify calibration examples that are exchangeable with the test example.
How can an agent build a structured map of its world from nothing but an ongoing sequence of raw sensory input and its own movements, especially when natural variation means exact sensory patterns rarely repeat? The Clone-Structured Causal Graph algorithm (CSCG), a normative hippocampus model, shows how an interpretable map can be learned from aliased observations.
arXiv:2607. 12382v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: How can an agent build a structured map of its world from nothing but an ongoing sequence of raw sensory input and its own movements, especially when natural variation means exact sensory patterns rarely repeat?
CCRV-Bench is a constraint‑driven benchmark designed to evaluate visual causal reasoning in vision‑language models on single‑image physical scenarios. It assesses four causal task dimensions—causal relation discovery, state prediction, causal diagnosis, and intervention—while applying constraints such as entity symbolization, spatial grounding, factual adversarial constraints, and minimalist output constraints to reduce shortcut learning. Experiments on 15 multimodal models reveal that constraint sensitivity varies by task and model, with intervention and spatial grounding having the largest impact and factual adversarial constraints improving causal diagnosis across models.