arXiv AI By Vu Van Than

Future-Back Threat Modeling: A Foresight-Driven Security Framework

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Future-Back Threat Modeling (FBTM) is a predictive security framework that starts with envisioned future threat states and works backward to uncover assumptions, gaps, blind spots, and vulnerabilities in current defense architectures. It aims to reveal both known unknowns and unknown unknowns, including emerging tactics, techniques, and procedures, thereby improving the predictability of adversary behavior under future uncertainty. By anticipating future threats such as AI, information warfare, and supply chain attacks, FBTM helps security leaders make informed decisions today to build more resilient security postures for the future.

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