arXiv AI By Ngoc Luyen Le, Marie-H\'el\`ene Abel, Bertrand Laforge

From Student Risk Prediction to SC2R: Semantics-Constrained Counterfactual Recourse for Educational Decision Support

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The paper introduces SC2R, a semantics‑constrained counterfactual recourse framework designed to provide actionable, feasible intervention plans for students identified as at risk by learning analytics models. SC2R integrates a calibrated predictive model, integer‑programming recourse generation over discrete actions, an RDF vocabulary for representing intervention plans, and SHACL validation to enforce constraints such as timing, budget, immutability, and availability. Evaluated on the OULAD dataset, the framework demonstrates strong predictive performance, scalable generation of compact intervention plans, and the ability to detect infeasible plans that would otherwise be accepted by simpler optimization approaches.

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From Student Risk Prediction to SC2R: Semantics-Constrained Counterfactual Recourse for Educational Decision Support

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