arXiv Machine Learning By Agathe Fernandes Machado, Fei Huang

From Explaining to Enabling: Actionable Transparency in Algorithmic Insurance Pricing

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The paper proposes a framework for making machine‑learning based insurance premiums explainable in a way that is valid, actionable, and reliable. It introduces axioms for each property and develops a method that uses Conformal Prediction to filter out uncertain recommendations, ensuring that suggested changes to controllable characteristics are likely to lower premiums. Experiments on real Florida flood‑insurance claims and synthetic driver‑telematics data show that constrained recommendations are more reliable and predict larger risk reductions than unconstrained ones.

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