arXiv AI By Meng-Chen Wu, Qipin Chen, Ansh Jain, Tess Wood, Zhe Du, Si-Chi Chin

Demographic Pluralism: Inference-Time Modeling of Pluralistic Human Preference Distributions

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The paper introduces Demographic Pluralism, an inference-time framework that estimates population-level opinion distributions without requiring training data or task-specific fine-tuning. It generates multiple perspectives within demographically grounded groups and, across four model backbones on GlobalOpinionQA and VITAL, reduces Jensen-Shannon distance by 8.4%–26.4% compared to Modular Pluralism. The study finds that equal weighting of group perspectives yields the best overall performance, while weighted aggregation performs worse due to increased group-level error.

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arXiv AI
2d ago

Population Fidelity: Evaluating Population Representativeness in LLMs

The paper introduces Population Fidelity, an evaluation framework for assessing how well large language models (LLMs) represent human population attitudes. It focuses on three dimensions: group-level accuracy, between-group variation, and the structure of that variation. Using the framework, the authors replicate a prior study on machine bias and test cultural fine-tuning, finding that while fine-tuning improves overall alignment, it does not enhance representation of within-population differences.

By Neemias B. da Silva, Martin Lukk, Ali Sutani, Abhishek Moturu, Harris Yang, Daniel Silver, Matt Ratto, Thiago H. Silva
arXiv AI
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Emulate or Estimate? The Divergent Strengths of Base and Post-Trained Language Models for Opinion Simulation

arXiv:2608. 03044v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Large language models are increasingly used to simulate human opinions, but prior work reports conflicting results: some studies find promising alignment with human survey data, while others find persona collapse and weak demographic sensitivity.

By Seth Grief-Albert, Jessica Bo, Difan Jiao, Ashton Anderson
Hugging Face Trending Papers
Jul 9

PLURAL: A Global Dataset for Value Alignment

Large language models (LLMs) are used worldwide, yet disproportionately reflect Western values, limiting their ability to represent diverse value systems. We introduce PLURAL, a large-scale, value-focused preference dataset grounded in the Integrated Values Survey (IVS), a nationally representative survey spanning 92 countries.