arXiv AI
DCD: Decomposition-based Causal Discovery from Autocorrelated and Non-Stationary Temporal Data
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arXiv AI
Sep 7
Beyond Stationarity in Time Series: Discovering Causal Structures and Latent Regimes via Markov Blankets
The paper presents RCBNB-MB, a causal discovery algorithm that relaxes the assumption of a single, time‑consistent causal structure in time series. It identifies latent causal regimes—subsets of time points where a stable causal graph holds—and iteratively segments the series to recover both regime transitions and the corresponding causal graphs using Markov blankets. The authors provide theoretical guarantees and demonstrate through simulations and real IT monitoring data that RCBNB-MB outperforms baseline methods in detecting regime changes and their causal structures.
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 15
Time Series Causal Discovery via Context-Conditioned and Causality-Augmented Pretraining
arXiv:2605. 26759v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Causal discovery from time series is critical for many real-world applications, such as tracing the root causes of anomalies.
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 21
Causal Discovery on Irregular Time Series
arXiv:2607. 18226v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Causal discovery methods have shown strong performance in temporal systems, but they typically rely on regular and discrete lag structures, limiting their applicability to regularly sampled data.
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 5
Robust Causal Discovery in Real-World Time Series with Power-Laws
arXiv:2507. 12257v4 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Exploring causal relationships in stochastic time series is a challenging yet crucial task with a vast range of applications, including finance, economics, neuroscience, and climate science.
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 5
From Causal Discovery to Dynamic Causal Inference in Neural Time Series
arXiv:2603. 20980v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Time-varying causal models provide a powerful framework for studying dynamic scientific systems, yet most existing approaches assume that the underlying causal network is known a priori - an assumption rarely satisfied in real-world domains where causal structure is uncertain, evolving, or only indirectly observable.
arXiv AI
Jun 17
FoundCause: Causal Discovery with Latent Confounders from Observational Data
arXiv:2606. 17516v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Causal discovery from observational data remains challenging due to the need to recover directed structure and latent confounding without interventions.