arXiv Machine Learning By Waleed Esmail, Stuart Russell, Jana Klinge, Alexander Kappes, Christine Thomas

Data-Driven Forecasting of three-Component Seismograms Using Transformer Architectures

Read the original on arXiv Machine Learning →

arXiv:2606. 02912v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Forecasting seismic waveforms beyond observed data remains challenging due to the nonlinear, dispersive, and multi-scale nature of seismic wave propagation.

Summary generated by The Flow from the publisher's feed. The full article lives at arXiv Machine Learning.

arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 10

When Do Autoregressive Sequence Models Forecast Physical Wavefields? A Controlled Study on Synthetic Seismograms

arXiv:2606. 10868v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Long-horizon autoregressive forecasting of oscillatory physical signals, such as seismograms, gravitational-wave strain, and similar wavefields is limited by error accumulation: as a causal model is fed its own outputs over hundreds of steps, small per-step errors compound into phase drift that pointwise metrics fail to detect.

By Waleed Esmail, Stuart Russell, Jana Klinge, Alexander Kappes, Christine Thomas
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 4

Using Seismic Statistical Features and VQ-VAE to Improve Spatiotemporal Seismicity Predictability

arXiv:2606. 10069v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: In this paper we build upon a previous study in which we demonstrated, using XGBoost and earthquake catalogue data from Japan and Chile, that a set of 60 seismic statistical features (SSFs) had much greater predictive value than a set of 428 generic time series features from the tsfresh package.

By Wei Quan, Denise Gorse
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 18

Benchmarking Physics-Informed Time-Series Models for Operational Global Station Weather Forecasting

arXiv:2406. 14399v4 Announce Type: replace Abstract: The development of Time-Series Forecasting (TSF) models is often constrained by the lack of comprehensive datasets, especially in Global Station Weather Forecasting (GSWF), where existing datasets are small, temporally short, and spatially sparse.

By Tao Han, Zhibin Wen, Zhenghao Chen, Dazhao Du, Song Guo, Lei Bai
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 9

GNSS-FM: A Self-Supervised Foundation Model for Daily GNSS Displacement Time Series

arXiv:2606. 07725v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Displacement time series from Global Navigation Satellite Systems (GNSS) are essential for a wide range of applications, including monitoring tectonic crustal deformations and investigating the different stages of the earthquake cycle.

By Nick Teutschmann (Institute of Geodesy and Photogrammetry, ETH Zurich, Switzerland), Laura Crocetti (Institute of Geodesy and Photogrammetry, ETH Zurich, Switzerland), Fanny Lehmann (ETH AI Center, Switzerland), Leonardo Trentini (Institute of Geodesy and Photogrammetry, ETH Zurich, Switzerland), Benedikt Soja (Institute of Geodesy and Photogrammetry, ETH Zurich, Switzerland)
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 10

Spatiotemporal Seismic Hazard Assessment Using VQ-VAE and Seismic Statistical Features

arXiv:2606. 10069v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: In this paper we build upon a previous study in which we demonstrated, using XGBoost and earthquake catalogue data from Japan and Chile, that a set of 60 seismic statistical features (SSFs) had much greater predictive value than a set of 428 generic time series features from the tsfresh package.

By Wei Quan, Denise Gorse
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 25

TopoCast: A Topological Fidelity Framework for Evaluating Transformer-Based Time Series Forecasting

arXiv:2606. 25439v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Deep learning-based models have achieved state-of-the-art performance in Time Series Forecasting (TSF), yet their evaluation remains dominated by pointwise error metrics such as Mean Squared Error (MSE), which quantify numerical accuracy but overlook structural properties of the forecast signal, including recurrent dynamics, oscillatory behavior, and phase alignment.

By Sandeepa Weerasekara, Sandareka Wickramanayake