arXiv:2606. 10069v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: In this paper we build upon a previous study in which we demonstrated, using XGBoost and earthquake catalogue data from Japan and Chile, that a set of 60 seismic statistical features (SSFs) had much greater predictive value than a set of 428 generic time series features from the tsfresh package.
By Wei Quan, Denise Gorse
arXiv:2606. 07725v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Displacement time series from Global Navigation Satellite Systems (GNSS) are essential for a wide range of applications, including monitoring tectonic crustal deformations and investigating the different stages of the earthquake cycle.
By Nick Teutschmann (Institute of Geodesy and Photogrammetry, ETH Zurich, Switzerland), Laura Crocetti (Institute of Geodesy and Photogrammetry, ETH Zurich, Switzerland), Fanny Lehmann (ETH AI Center, Switzerland), Leonardo Trentini (Institute of Geodesy and Photogrammetry, ETH Zurich, Switzerland), Benedikt Soja (Institute of Geodesy and Photogrammetry, ETH Zurich, Switzerland)
arXiv:2608.24561v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Rapid earthquake magnitude estimation is central to earthquake early warning, yet many operational systems depend on dense regional seismic networks an...
By Quenton Yeo, Zhaoge Bi, Linghan Huang, Luke Stephen Higgins, Flora Salim, Huaming Chen
The paper presents a framework that adapts general-purpose Vision Foundation Models (VFMs) to seismic data denoising using Parameter‑Efficient Fine‑Tuning with Low‑Rank Adaptation (LoRA). It introduces a kurtosis‑guided unsupervised test‑time adaptation module that updates only LoRA parameters to self‑calibrate for site‑specific noise without ground truth. Experiments on exploration seismic images and DAS data demonstrate that the approach matches or surpasses domain‑specific models and generalizes well to unseen cross‑site data.
By Jiahua Zhao, Umair bin Waheed, Jing Sun, Yang Cui, Nikos Savva, Eric Verschuur
arXiv:2609.36193v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Learning from scientific measurements often requires aligning modalities with different spatial support and resolution. Subsurface characterization is...
By Meher Gajula, Keyla Gonzalez, Ben Lasscock, Alejandro Valenciano
Autoregressive modelling, successful in language tasks, is applied to mineral‑exploration drillholes where lithology is revealed sequentially from shallow to deep. The authors introduce DrillBench, a benchmark of 49,671 Western Australian drillholes for next‑layer prediction and autoregressive stratigraphic generation across a graded transfer spectrum. Experiments show that spatial conditioning helps locally but fails under strong shift, while autoregressive models transfer more robustly; a backbone‑agnostic recipe combining large‑scale pretraining and spatial retrieval improves generalisation, especially in distant geological splits.
By Yihao Ding, Daniel Yitian Su, Yiran Zhang, Christopher M. Gonzalez, Wei Liu
arXiv:2606. 08563v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: While global data-driven models excel at predicting continuous atmospheric variables, three-dimensional hydrometeor forecasting remains challenging due to the zero-inflated, long-tailed distributions of these variables.
By Dandan Chen, Yaqiang Wang
arXiv:2608. 19672v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Natural hazard susceptibility mapping is often constrained by limited labeled data, reducing the generalizability of conventional machine learning and limiting the applicability of complex deep learning models.
By Mohammad H. Vahidnia, Ali Pourkarimi
arXiv:2606. 02912v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Forecasting seismic waveforms beyond observed data remains challenging due to the nonlinear, dispersive, and multi-scale nature of seismic wave propagation.
By Waleed Esmail, Stuart Russell, Jana Klinge, Alexander Kappes, Christine Thomas
The study evaluates crop‑yield forecasting methods for the 2012 Midwestern US drought, comparing non‑deep learning machine learning models with a deep learning model (VITA) using 16 meteorological predictors. It highlights challenges such as distributional dissimilarity between training and test data, spatial and temporal sparsity, and demonstrates that sample weighting and feature selection improve non‑deep learning models but not VITA. The work contrasts deep versus non‑deep learning approaches and shows how modifications can mitigate issues arising from extreme drought conditions.
By Shrey Gupta, Yi Ming, George Mohler
arXiv:2607. 16050v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Pluvial (rainfall-driven) flooding accounts for 45% of National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims in the United States and is harder to predict than its riverine and coastal counterparts, with existing approaches limited to coarse resolution, regional domains, or computationally intensive process-based models unsuitable for daily continental-scale use.
By Yuya Kawakami, Daniel Cayan, Dongyu Liu, Kwan-Liu Ma, Tom Corringham
The paper introduces a Physics Informed Recurrent Neural Network (PIRNN) that simultaneously predicts target time series and unobservable intermediate physical variables, enhancing robustness and interpretability. It adapts to any physical model with multiple equations and variables, demonstrated on groundwater level predictions using the Gardenia model. Experiments on twelve real‑world datasets show PIRNN outperforming several neural network baselines and the Gardenia model, with an ablation study confirming the value of physical knowledge.
By Etienne Lehembre (CA, LIFO), Pascal Audigane (BRGM), Vincent Nguyen (LIFO), Christel Vrain (LIFO, CA), Thi-Bich-Hanh Dao (LIFO, CA)