arXiv Machine Learning By Luke W. Yerbury, Ricardo J. G. B. Campello, G. C. Livingston Jr, Mark Goldsworthy, Lachlan O'Neil

CROCS: A Two-Stage Clustering Framework for Behaviour-Centric Consumer Segmentation with Smart Meter Data

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arXiv:2601. 10494v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: With grid operators confronting rising uncertainty from renewable integration and a broader push toward electrification, Demand-Side Management (DSM) -- particularly Demand Response (DR) -- has attracted significant attention as a cost-effective mechanism for balancing modern electricity systems.

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arXiv Machine Learning
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Uncovering Residential PV-EV Co-Adoption from Smart-Meter Data: Load Archetypes and Detection for Demand-Side Planning

The paper presents a two-part workflow for analyzing smart‑meter data to uncover patterns of residential co‑adoption of photovoltaic (PV) systems and electric vehicles (EVs). First, dynamic time warping k‑means clustering identifies distinct daily import/export archetypes for PV‑only, EV‑only, co‑adopters, and neither groups, revealing a midday‑centered export pattern for many co‑adopters. Second, a bidirectional LSTM model trained on 21‑day windows achieves high detection performance (AUROC 0.991, macro‑F1 0.906) for PV/EV activity, outperforming tabular baselines and remaining robust across labeling rules and temporal splits.

By Jack Zheng, Hao Wang
arXiv Machine Learning
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LoaDiff: Conditional Generation of Electricity Consumption Time Series for Energy Analytics

LoaDiff is a diffusion-based generative model that produces year-long, sub-hourly smart‑meter electricity consumption time series. It can be conditioned on static household attributes like appliance ownership and dynamic factors such as calendar dates and outdoor temperature. Evaluations on three residential datasets show that LoaDiff generates realistic, diverse load profiles, limits memorization, retains useful information for downstream tasks, and responds coherently to conditioning changes.

By Mariia Baranova, Adrien Petralia, Etienne Le Naour, Nathan Etourneau, Guillaume Hofmann, Themis Palpanas