arXiv AI By Juntao Fang, Shifeng Xie, Ruichu Cai, Shengji Zheng, Zijian Li, Keli Zhang, Lujia Pan, Themis Palpanas, Zhifeng Hao

ChorusTIC: Training-Free Multivariate Time Series Classification via Chorus In-Context Learning

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ChorusTIC is a training‑free foundation model for multivariate time‑series classification that works across heterogeneous channel configurations without updating task‑specific parameters. It uses Random Subchannel Slot Concatenation and a shared dual‑axis encoder to capture temporal and cross‑channel interactions, mapping variable channel counts into a fixed‑width representation. The model is pretrained on synthetic episodes and achieves strong performance on the UEA‑30 and UCR‑128 archives, handling both full‑context and low‑label scenarios without fitting a target‑specific classifier.

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arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 29

Aurora-X: Built for Extreme Time Series Forecasting

Aurora‑X is a billion‑parameter time‑series foundation model designed for extreme forecasting tasks. It employs a progressive curriculum that starts with channel‑independent pretraining, then adds cross‑variable dependencies, variable context and horizon lengths, and optional future covariates during mid‑training. A variable‑resolution post‑training stage allows adjustable temporal spans per token at inference, while a pattern‑guided mixture‑of‑experts expands capacity through sparse activation and expert specialization. An implicit quantile network head predicts arbitrary quantiles, enhancing probabilistic forecasting flexibility. Experiments on GIFT‑Eval, TIME, FEV‑Bench, TFB, and DAG‑Bench show state‑of‑the‑art performance against both pretrained TSFMs and task‑specific supervised models.

By Xingjian Wu, Chenjuan Guo, Xiangfei Qiu, Zhigang Hu, Hanyin Cheng, Peng Chen, Yang Shu, Jilin Hu, Bin Yang