CDEP Agent: Connecting Meteorologically Detected Temporal Compound Events to Real-World Documentary Evidence
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arXiv:2606. 02604v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: ESG and climate risk data remain fragmented across heterogeneous Scope 1, Scope 2, and Scope 3 reporting environments, while conventional validation pipelines lack provenance aware auditability, hidden drift detection, and reproducibility oriented governance.
Automated fact-checking (AFC) systems retrieve evidence and predict claim veracity, yet evaluations omit simple baselines, systems are developed for a single benchmark and cannot be trusted to general...
The paper evaluates the robustness of automated fact‑checking systems by cross‑benchmarking nine models—including random baselines, fine‑tuned transformers, zero‑shot LLMs, and top AVeriTeC 2025 systems—across four datasets from scientific, open‑web, and climate domains. It finds that fine‑tuned models outperform zero‑shot LLMs on ClimateCheck, that system rankings vary strongly with domain and metric, and that replacing retrieved evidence with gold annotations boosts veracity accuracy by 14–22 points, underscoring retrieval as the main bottleneck. The authors provide code, pre‑processed datasets, and results to enable reproducible research.
The paper introduces ARGUS, a language‑model pipeline that audits evidence for identification assumptions in difference‑in‑differences studies of climate policy. ARGUS evaluates reported evidence against an eleven‑dimension rubric, abstaining when evidence cannot be retrieved. In tests, ARGUS detects 73% of injected flaws versus 18% for a keyword approach, abstains on about 40% of assessments in 26 economics papers, and often assigns higher risk than human labels in a five‑paper pilot.
arXiv:2608.23525v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Earth-system analysis reconstructs changing physical processes from observations that differ in source, scale, timing, and modality. Natural hazards ma...
arXiv:2608. 12422v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Two free satellite signals carry real information about glacial-lake outburst risk in the Nepal Himalaya: radar interferometry sees a moraine dam slowly sagging, and satellite weather marks the weeks when a primed lake is under stress.