arXiv AI By Dhruva Biswas, Jeroen Berrevoets, Alec McClean, Linus Bao, Jungkyu Park, Ken G. Zeng, Joseph Cappadona, Cerise Tang, Chuwen Liu, Bartosz Machura, Yin Wu, Valerie Speirs, Hatem Soliman, Rohit Bhargava, Sheheryar Kabraji, Thaer Khoury, David Page, Brian Piening, Carlo Bifulco, Claudia Meurs, Pieter Westenend, Sylvie Chabaud, Jerome Lemonnier, Paul H. Cottu, Florence Dalenc, Fabrice Andre, Frederique Madeleine Penault-Llorca, Thomas Bachelot, Frederick Howard, Francisco J. Esteva, Kevin Kalinsky, Lajos Pusztai, Jan Witowski, Krzysztof J. Geras

Causal multi-modal AI for personalized chemosensitivity prediction

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A causal multi-modal AI model was developed to predict personalized chemosensitivity in breast cancer patients using routine pathology and clinical data. Trained on 9,141 patients from nine countries and validated on 1,994 patients from three countries, the model produced treatment-specific recurrence probabilities with near-perfect calibration and strong prognostic discrimination over 5- and 10-year horizons. It outperformed existing recurrence-score tests and could reduce chemotherapy prescriptions by 30% while maintaining recurrence-free rates, with predictive performance also transferring to non-breast cancers.

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