arXiv:2606. 18527v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: U-calibration studies online forecasting algorithms whose predictions can be consumed by any unknown downstream agent, guaranteeing sublinear regret simultaneously for all proper loss functions.
By Rafael Frongillo, Haipeng Luo, Nishant A. Mehta, Jon Schneider
arXiv:2607. 19689v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We study the problem of recalibrating an online predictor [KE17, OKS24]: given an arbitrary "hint" sequence of forecasts, the learner must output new predictions that are calibrated while incurring small excess error relative to the original forecasts, under a proper loss.
By Lunjia Hu, Kevin Tian, Chutong Yang
arXiv:2608. 06656v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Can one forecaster attain the optimal regret rate for every bounded proper loss and also adapt to every smooth proper loss?
By Pahan Dewasurendra
arXiv:2510. 22819v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: The convergence analysis of online learning algorithms is central to machine learning theory, where the last-iterate convergence is particularly important, as it captures the learner's actual decisions and describes the evolution of the learning process over time.
By Jingxin Zhan, Yuze Han, Zhihua Zhang
arXiv:2601. 02022v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: We prove that Thompson sampling exhibits $\tilde{O}(\sigma d \sqrt{T} + d r \sqrt{\mathrm{Tr}(\Sigma_0)})$ Bayesian regret in the linear-Gaussian bandit with a $\mathcal{N}(\mu_0, \Sigma_0)$ prior distribution on the coefficients, where $d$ is the dimension, $T$ is the time horizon, $r$ is the maximum $\ell_2$ norm of the actions, and $\sigma^2$ is the noise variance.
By Yifan Zhu, John C. Duchi, Benjamin Van Roy
arXiv:2603. 25029v4 Announce Type: replace Abstract: We study online convex optimization (OCO) with two-point bandit feedback against a non-anticipating adaptive adversary.
By Haishan Ye