This paper proposes the Bayesian Expected Uncertainty Reduction (B-EUR) model, which formalizes the value of trying a candidate design action as its expected reduction of epistemic uncertainty about action--outcome relations. The model addresses one part of the Uncertainty Driven Action (UDA) model's open question concerning how changes in uncertainty perception determine action selection.
The paper introduces ACTION-BED, a Bayesian experimental design framework that replaces traditional uncertainty‑reduction objectives with expected future loss (EFL) on downstream actions. By reformulating EFLs into singly intractable objectives, ACTION-BED enables joint optimisation of design and action policies using stochastic gradients without explicit posterior or marginal likelihood estimation. This approach simplifies learning of design policies and allows easy customization to various downstream tasks and loss functions.
By Tom Rossa, Angus Phillips, Tom Rainforth
arXiv:2606. 19353v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: In-Context Learning (ICL) allows LLMs to adapt to new tasks from a few demonstrations, but its reliability remains a concern: predictions are highly sensitive to both prompt design and the model's ability to understand the context, obscuring whether failures arise from data properties or model limitations.
By Jinseok Chung, Minkyoung Song, Hyunji Jung, Namhoon Lee
arXiv:2607. 14817v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Current evaluation of epistemic uncertainty relies on tasks such as out-ofdistribution detection and active learning.
By Jakub Paplh\'am, Willem Waegeman, Eyke H\"ullermeier, Vojt\v{e}ch Franc
arXiv:2608.16466v2 Announce Type: replace-cross
Abstract: Bayesian optimal experimental design (BOED) aims to collect informative data by optimizing an expected utility reflecting the goals of an exp...
By David Chen, Michael Evans, Xinwei Li, Prateek Bansal, David J. Nott
arXiv:2606. 19328v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Preference-based RL provides an approach to learning reward models from pairwise comparisons of behaviors, bypassing the need for explicit reward design.
By Mohamed Nabail, Leo Cheng, Jingmin Wang, Nicholas Rhinehart