arXiv:2610.32487v1 Announce Type: cross
Abstract: This letter poses state estimation (SE) as an in-context tabular prediction (ICTP) problem. The key idea is a tabular arrangement in which historical...
By Ayushi Jolotia, Parikshit Pareek
arXiv:2604.22784v2 Announce Type: replace
Abstract: Power System State Estimation (PSSE) converts geographically distributed measurements into the voltage magnitudes and phase angles needed for grid...
By Solon Falas, Markos Asprou, Charalambos Konstantinou, Maria K. Michael
arXiv:2308. 07867v4 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: The absence of formal performance guarantees in machine learning (ML) has limited its adoption for safety-critical power system applications, where confidence and interpretability are as vital as accuracy.
By Parikshit Pareek, Sidhant Misra, Deepjyoti Deka
arXiv:2607. 03217v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Uncertainty quantification of hydrological predictions is necessary to inform operational decisions.
By Karan Ruparell, Tristan Hascoet, Takemasa Miyoshi, Kieran M. R. Hunt, Hannah L. Cloke, Christel Prudhomme, Florian Pappenberger
The paper introduces the Belief Flow Filter (BFF), a generative filtering framework that encodes the evolving posterior distribution directly into flow matching model weights and updates them via test‑time gradient descent. By avoiding particle representations and Gaussian assumptions, BFF aligns structurally with Bayesian filtering and targets the recursive filtering operator. Empirical results on five physical systems—including chaotic dynamics, sparse observations, and a tokamak plasma estimation task—show that BFF outperforms existing methods in most benchmark metrics.
By Ruiqi Feng, Chongyi Wang, Tao Zhang, Tailin Wu
The paper introduces learned control variates (CVs) to estimate rare grid‑outage probabilities at electric vehicle charging stations more efficiently. By training a classifier on inexpensive features such as temperature and load forecasts, the CV reduces variance in Monte Carlo simulations, with performance tied to the classifier’s recall and false‑positive rate. Experiments on a feeder‑overload simulator and a real Surabaya network show that even a weak learner can cut variance by a quarter, while a boosted‑tree learner achieves about 60% reduction, leading to a one‑third decrease in city‑wide blackout days compared to standard Monte Carlo.
By Sulyman Iyanda, Mansur Arief