arXiv:2606. 19117v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Offline policy learning has received growing attention in causal inference.
By Yiyan Huang, Cheuk Hang Leung, Qi Wu, Zhiheng Zhang
arXiv:2509. 03456v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Off-policy evaluation (OPE) and off-policy learning (OPL) are foundational for decision-making in offline contextual bandits.
By Imad Aouali, Otmane Sakhi
arXiv:2606. 03332v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Probabilistic models are typically trained using task-agnostic objectives like log-loss, which can lead to significant errors in downstream estimation.
By Roman Plaud, Alexandre Perez-Lebel, Antoine Saillenfest, Thomas Bonald, Marine Le Morvan, Ga\"el Varoquaux, Matthieu Labeau
Probabilistic models are typically trained using task-agnostic objectives like log-loss, which can lead to significant errors in downstream estimation. This disconnect is especially critical in Inverse Probability Weighting (IPW) for causal inference, where propensity score errors near $0$ and $1$ often lead to high bias and variance.
arXiv:2607. 14604v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Online controlled experiments are the gold standard for hypothesis testing in online platforms.
By Olivier Jeunen
arXiv:2606. 07399v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Generative models for counterfactual outcomes have great potential to support decision-making under complex interventions, but existing approaches are limited by unstable estimation, poor generalization across environments, and bias from nuisance model misspecification.
By Raphael C Kim, Jingsen Zhu, Ramin Zabih, Michele Santacatterina