arXiv AI By Marco Jochum, Ioannis Kouroudis, Gohar Ali Siddiqui, Taher Amine Hamzaoui, Manuel G\"o{\ss}wein, Alessio Gagliardi

Accelerated surrogate dynamics for dynamical, stochastic system evolution

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The paper introduces a surrogate modeling framework that combines a Variational Autoencoder with a convolutional or graph basis to reduce dimensionality, and propagates the resulting latent vector over time using a Temporal Fusion Transformer. This approach captures both long‑range and short‑range dynamics while supporting static covariates, and it has been validated on three distinct systems, matching full simulation results at a fraction of the computational cost. The method also offers built‑in uncertainty quantification, enabling targeted experimental design and adaptability to new systems.

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