The paper introduces a probabilistic‑circuit framework for fusing opinions from multiple black‑box experts in noisy, conflict‑prone environments. It dynamically assigns context‑specific credibility to each expert, allowing reliable aggregation without needing access to their internal models or retraining. Experiments on multiple‑choice question answering with large language models show that this method outperforms individual models and static ensemble baselines, consistently improving predictive accuracy and decision reliability under disagreement.
By Pranuthi Tenali, Sahil Sidheekh, Saurabh Mathur, Vijayalakshmi Saravanan, Erik Blasch, Kristian Kersting, Sriraam Natarajan
arXiv:2607. 20529v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Large Language Model (LLM) ensembles are increasingly used to improve reliability by combining predictions from multiple LLMs.
By Jiawei Zheng, Jiazhen Zhang
The paper investigates how large language models (LLMs) used as judges in absolute scoring tasks exhibit systematic biases that compromise reliability. It shows that a judge’s task accuracy strongly predicts both its judging accuracy and its directional bias, yet more capable examinee models consistently receive more lenient judgments. To mitigate these biases, the authors propose a calibrated weighted majority voting (WMV) ensemble that estimates judges’ error rates from inter-judge agreement patterns, achieving near-oracle performance without labeled data and improving both accuracy and fairness.
By Gemma Zhang, Prachi Badarayani, Asmi Kumar, Sadid Hasan, Sulaiman Vesal
The paper introduces CASE, a dynamic selection combiner that uses a linear gate trained on answer-token hidden states to choose the best candidate answer from a large language model’s samples. It proposes decodability, a leakage‑free metric that predicts when hidden‑state selection will outperform majority voting, achieving a strong correlation (r=0.75) with accuracy gains. CASE improves accuracy by up to 19 points on medium‑difficulty and 16.8 points on hard questions across general and medical LLMs, and its predictive power transfers to unseen scientific domains.
By Zhixiang wang, Ziliang Hong, Ulas Bagci
arXiv:2605. 15416v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Jung et al.
By Gaojie Jin, Yong Tao, Lijia Yu, Tianjin Huang
arXiv:2601. 21817v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Evaluating large language models (LLMs) on open-ended tasks without ground-truth labels is increasingly done via the LLM-as-a-judge paradigm.
By Mingyuan Xu, Xinzi Tan, Jiawei Wu, Doudou Zhou