arXiv Machine Learning By Sophie Hanna Langbein, Niklas Koenen, Marvin N. Wright, Julia Herbinger

A Hilbert-Valued Functional Decomposition Framework for Explaining Time-Dependent Outputs

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The paper introduces a Hilbert‑valued functional decomposition framework that extends feature‑based explanations to time‑dependent outputs, such as trajectories in demand forecasting. It generalizes functional decomposition to Hilbert‑valued prediction functions and incorporates kernel‑based output representations, allowing explanations at multiple temporal granularities—time‑specific, time‑resolved, and time‑aggregated. The authors validate the framework on synthetic data and real‑world applications, including intraday financial market volatility prediction and energy demand forecasting.

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arXiv AI
Jun 18

From Values to Tokens: An LLM-Driven Framework for Context-aware Time Series Forecasting via Symbolic Discretization

arXiv:2508. 09191v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Time series forecasting plays a vital role in supporting decision-making across a wide range of critical applications, including energy, healthcare, and finance.

By Xiaoyu Tao, Shilong Zhang, Mingyue Cheng, Daoyu Wang, Tingyue Pan, Bokai Pan, Changqing Zhang, Shijin Wang