arXiv:2603. 20980v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Time-varying causal models provide a powerful framework for studying dynamic scientific systems, yet most existing approaches assume that the underlying causal network is known a priori - an assumption rarely satisfied in real-world domains where causal structure is uncertain, evolving, or only indirectly observable.
By Dmitry Zaytsev, Valentina Kuskova, Michael Coppedge
arXiv:2602. 18662v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Causal discovery for both cross-sectional and temporal data has traditionally followed a dataset-specific paradigm, where a new model is fitted for each individual dataset.
By Nikolaos Kougioulis, Nikolaos Gkorgkolis, MingXue Wang, Bora Caglayan, Dario Simionato, Andrea Tonon, Ioannis Tsamardinos
arXiv:2606. 13024v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Granger Causal Discovery (GCD) is fundamental for analyzing temporal dependencies in complex systems.
By Bo Liu, Di Dai, Jingwei Liu, Jiarui Jin, Xiaocheng Fang, Guangkun Nie, Hongyan Li, Shenda Hong
arXiv:2501. 02672v4 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Granger causality (GC) is widely used to infer directed relationships in time-series data.
By S. A. Adedayo
The paper introduces Causal Local States (CLS), a framework that simultaneously infers an approximate Granger‑causal interaction network and forecasts the dynamics of a system. CLS selects, for each node, the smallest set of neighbors that enables near‑optimal prediction, and then combines these local neighborhoods to forecast the entire system. Experiments on three increasingly difficult benchmarks show that CLS reconstructs the underlying networks with high fidelity and achieves forecast accuracy comparable to a model that uses the true network.
By Jonas Braun, Fabian Fischbach, Daniel K\"oglmayr, Sebastian Baur, Christoph R\"ath
arXiv:2512.07624v2 Announce Type: replace
Abstract: Process Model Forecasting (PMF) aims to predict how the control-flow structure of a process evolves over time by modeling the temporal dynamics of...
By Yongbo Yu, Jari Peeperkorn, Johannes De Smedt, Jochen De Weerdt