arXiv AI By Meiliang Liu, Huiwen Dong, Xiaoxiao Yang, Yunfang Xu, Mingbao Yang, Zijin Li, Zhengye Si, Xinyue Yang, Zhiwen Zhao

A Gradient-based Causal Discovery Framework with Applications to Complex Industrial Processes

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arXiv:2507. 11178v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: With the advancement of deep learning technologies, various neural network-based Granger causality models have been proposed.

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arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 5

From Causal Discovery to Dynamic Causal Inference in Neural Time Series

arXiv:2603. 20980v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Time-varying causal models provide a powerful framework for studying dynamic scientific systems, yet most existing approaches assume that the underlying causal network is known a priori - an assumption rarely satisfied in real-world domains where causal structure is uncertain, evolving, or only indirectly observable.

By Dmitry Zaytsev, Valentina Kuskova, Michael Coppedge
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 4

Large Causal Models for Temporal Causal Discovery

arXiv:2602. 18662v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Causal discovery for both cross-sectional and temporal data has traditionally followed a dataset-specific paradigm, where a new model is fitted for each individual dataset.

By Nikolaos Kougioulis, Nikolaos Gkorgkolis, MingXue Wang, Bora Caglayan, Dario Simionato, Andrea Tonon, Ioannis Tsamardinos
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 19

Causal Local States: Scalable Simultaneous Causal Network Inference and Forecasting for Dynamical Systems

The paper introduces Causal Local States (CLS), a framework that simultaneously infers an approximate Granger‑causal interaction network and forecasts the dynamics of a system. CLS selects, for each node, the smallest set of neighbors that enables near‑optimal prediction, and then combines these local neighborhoods to forecast the entire system. Experiments on three increasingly difficult benchmarks show that CLS reconstructs the underlying networks with high fidelity and achieves forecast accuracy comparable to a model that uses the true network.

By Jonas Braun, Fabian Fischbach, Daniel K\"oglmayr, Sebastian Baur, Christoph R\"ath