arXiv AI

Scaling Point-in-Time Language Models: Enabling Economic Evaluation of Embeddings

The paper introduces point‑in‑time language models that are trained only on text available up to each calendar date, thereby eliminating lookahead bias that plagues standard large language models. By scaling decoder‑only transformers to 4 billion parameters and training on 1 trillion chronologically filtered tokens from FineWeb, the authors produce monthly checkpoints from 2013 to 2024 that achieve performance close to unconstrained models of similar size on common‑sense reasoning and language understanding tasks. Instruction fine‑tuning with LoRA further enhances downstream usability, and the authors release the full pipeline—including dataset construction, training infrastructure, and evaluation code—for reproducible research.

arXiv AI
Jul 15

Scaling Point-in-Time Language Models

arXiv:2607. 11889v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Large language models trained on unrestricted internet corpora inevitably embed information from the future, introducing lookahead bias that compromises the validity of backtests and causal inference in finance and the social sciences.

By Bryan Kelly, Semyon Malamud, Johannes Schwab, Teng Andrea Xu
arXiv Computation and Language
Sep 28

PALM: Point-in-Time Adaptation for Financial Language Models

arXiv:2609.30316v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Language models used in financial backtests suffer from look-ahead bias, as a model trained on text published after the study period has already obse...

By Seunghan Lee, Jun Seo, Jaehoon Lee, Junhyeok Kang, Sangjun Han, Sungdong Yoo, Minjae Kim, Tae Yoon Lim, Dongwan Kang, Hwanil Choi, Soonyoung Lee, Wonbin Ahn
arXiv AI
Aug 25

LLM-based Agents for Forecasting and Prediction: Methods, Training, Evaluation, and Applications

arXiv:2608.23058v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Large language models (LLMs) now support forecasting systems that combine language-based reasoning with temporal data, evidence retrieval, external too...

By Xiaogang Xu, Jiaqi Tang, Jianmin Chen, Yingying Yan, Zhenchao Tang, Xiangxin Zhou, Xiaobin Hu, Wei Wei, Jinfeng Wu, Qifeng Chen, Lu Zhou, Jiafei Wu, Zhe Liu, Jianwei Yin, Weimin Zheng
arXiv Computation and Language
4d ago

Data Strategies for Large Language Models: A Unified Perspective on the Training Lifecycle

The paper reviews data strategies for large language models, emphasizing that data strategy—selecting, weighting, and scheduling training data—determines model capabilities within a fixed data budget. It treats high‑quality data as having training‑dependent utility, varying with the target objective, model, and training state. The authors organize existing methods by decision granularity, model dependence, and temporal adaptivity, comparing their computational costs and empirical support, and note limited evidence for transfer across model scales and end‑to‑end cost parity.

By Yuanjian Xu, Jianing Hao, Tianze Sun, Yongyao Duan, Sam Chen, Jinyi Han, Wanbo Zhang, Yuxuan Sun, Guang Zhang, Zhong Li
arXiv AI
Oct 2

Closing the Loop: Practical Training Recipes for Looped Language Models

The paper presents practical training recipes for looped language models, showing that a compute‑efficient pipeline can reduce the training budget from 7.7 T tokens to 310 B tokens while maintaining strong reasoning performance. In controlled experiments, a 1.4 B LoopLM outperforms a parameter‑matched dense model on 12 benchmarks, achieving significant gains on GSM8K, MATH, and DROP, and approaches a 3.9 B dense model at matched inference compute. The authors also provide a minimal recipe to convert pretrained dense models into looped ones, demonstrating improvements on Qwen3‑1.7B‑Base across multiple data regimes.

By Andrei Marchenko, Viacheslav Bezrukov, Oleg Kashurin, Inessa Fedorova, Dmitry Bocharov, Yuliana Shakhvalieva, Maria Tikhonova, Valerii Ternovskii
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 30

It's All Training: A Fully Synthetic Single-Stage Recipe for LLMs

arXiv:2609.37891v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Current pre-training datasets are derived from web crawls, with all their issues, and were not designed to support mid- and post-training pipelines--...

By Pierre-Carl Langlais, Pieter Delobelle, Yannick Detrois, Pavel Chizhov, Carlos Rosas-Hinostroza, Neil Si Smail, Benjamin Burtin, Hanna Shcharbakova, Ivan Yamshchikov, Anastasia Stasenko
arXiv AI
Oct 1

Linguistic Loopholes in LLM Unlearning: From a 174-Language Benchmark to Coverage-Aware Unlearning

The paper introduces the problem of cross‑lingual loopholes in large language model (LLM) unlearning, where forgetting a fact in one language can leave it accessible in others. It presents a new 174‑language benchmark, the Cross‑Lingual Unlearning Tensor, and proposes COVER, a method that selects a subset of source languages to maximize unlearning coverage under a language budget. Experiments show COVER reduces residual knowledge by 7.8–27.3% compared to uniform selection and works on both synthetic and real low‑resource news data.

By Tyler Skow, Shravan Chaudhari, Rama Chellappa, Abhay Yadav