arXiv Machine Learning

Inference-Time Prior Adaptation for Imbalanced Data Streams under Concept Drift

The paper introduces PAI-KNN, a k‑nearest neighbor classifier designed for data stream classification with concept drift and class imbalance. Unlike traditional methods that modify memory through instance removal or resampling, PAI‑KNN keeps a simple sliding‑window buffer and adapts its decision rule at inference time by adjusting class priors based on recent observations. Experiments on synthetic streams with varying imbalance and drift show that PAI‑KNN performs competitively with state‑of‑the‑art techniques, especially when dynamic class imbalance and concept drift are present.

arXiv AI
Sep 11

SCCM : Stream Cruise Control Method for Automated Drift Detection and Adaptation

The paper introduces the Stream Cruise Control Method (SCCM), a framework for detecting and adapting to concept drift in online regression. SCCM performs early-response drift detection, quantifies drift magnitude, applies KPI-window-based thresholding to reduce false alarms, dynamically tunes hyperparameters, and recalibrates models, all within an in-memory design for real-time operation. Evaluations on synthetic and real-world datasets demonstrate that SCCM improves predictive performance compared to eight baseline detector–adaptation methods.

By Mohammad Abu-Shaira, Weishi Shi
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 19

Continuous Evolution Pool: Taming Recurring Concept Drift in Online Time Series Forecasting

The paper introduces the Continuous Evolution Pool (CEP), a replay‑free framework for online time series forecasting that tackles recurring concept drift. CEP maintains a dynamic pool of specialized forecasters, using lightweight statistical genes to identify concepts, spawn new models when distribution shifts occur, and prune obsolete ones under memory limits. Experiments on real‑world datasets show CEP reduces forecasting error by up to 24% compared to state‑of‑the‑art baselines, especially in scenarios with pronounced recurring drift.

By Tianxiang Zhan, Ming Jin, Yuanpeng He, Yuxuan Liang, Shirui Pan