arXiv Machine Learning

HyBDM: Multi-Scale Hybrid Experts for Time Series Forecasting with Bidirectional Dependency Modeling

arXiv:2607. 16882v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Time series forecasting (TSF) is vital to many applications, yet existing models often struggle to capture the heterogeneous long-range global patterns and short-range local variations in multivariate time series.

arXiv AI
Jul 23

Structured Latent Space Modeling over Multi-Scale Temporal Patches for Multivariate Time Series Forecasting

arXiv:2607. 19404v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Multivariate time series encode structural patterns that unfold across multiple temporal scales, yet most forecasting backbones treat learned representations as transient byproducts of prediction, leaving the organizational geometry of these patterns underexploited.

By Xingsheng Chen, Deyu Yi, Siu-Ming Yiu
arXiv AI
4d ago

Channel-Dependent State Space Model for Multivariate Time Series Forecasting

The paper introduces Chameleon, a channel‑dependent state space model for multivariate time series forecasting that allows data‑dependent, fine‑grained interactions across variables while maintaining linear scaling with the number of variables. By integrating selective state space models with a Kalman filter and adapting GatedDeltaNet as the backbone, Chameleon improves generalization and achieves lower MSE and MAE on strongly dependent ODE and PEMS datasets compared to both channel‑independent and prior channel‑dependent methods. Across 28 benchmark settings, it outperforms baselines in the majority of cases and demonstrates competitive training‑time and memory efficiency on Traffic and ETT datasets.

By Yu-Cheng Wu, Fan-Keng Sun, Li-Chun Lu, Duane S. Boning
arXiv AI
Aug 18

Adapting LLMs to Time Series Forecasting via Temporal Heterogeneity Modeling and Representation Alignment

arXiv:2508. 07195v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Recent advances have demonstrated that Large Language Models (LLMs) can be effectively adapted for time series forecasting, revealing strong potential beyond natural language tasks.

By Yanru Sun, Emadeldeen Eldele, Zongxia Xie, Yucheng Wang, Wenzhe Niu, Qinghua Hu, Chee Keong Kwoh, Min Wu
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 2

TiRex-2: Generalizing TiRex to Multivariate Data and Streaming

arXiv:2607. 01204v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: We introduce TiRex-2, a recurrent xLSTM-based time series foundation model that generalizes the univariate TiRex to multivariate forecasting with both past and future covariates.

By Patrick Podest, Marco Pichler, Elias B\"urger, Levente Z\'olyomi, Bernhard Voggenberger, Wilhelm Berghammer, Daniel Klotz, Sebastian B\"ock, G\"unter Klambauer, Sepp Hochreiter
arXiv AI
Jun 30

UniMamba: A Unified Spatial-Temporal Modeling Framework with State-Space and Attention Integration

arXiv:2604. 16325v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Multivariate time series forecasting is fundamental to numerous domains such as energy, finance, and environmental monitoring, where complex temporal dependencies and cross-variable interactions pose enduring challenges.

By Xingsheng Chen, Xianpei Mu, Deyu Yi, Yilin Yuan, Xingwei He, Bo Gao, Regina Zhang, Pietro Lio, Siu-Ming Yiu
arXiv AI
Jun 9

VFEM: Visual Feature Empowered Multivariate Time Series Forecasting with Cross-Modal Fusion

arXiv:2510. 03244v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Large time series foundation models often adopt channel-independent architectures to handle varying data dimensions, but this design ignores crucial cross-channel dependencies.

By Yanlong Wang, Hang Yu, Jian Xu, Fei Ma, Hongkang Zhang, Tongtong Feng, Zijian Zhang, Shao-Lun Huang, Danny Dongning Sun, Xiao-Ping Zhang
arXiv AI
Jun 16

FlowState: Sampling-Rate-Equivariant Time-Series Forecasting

arXiv:2508. 05287v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Existing time series foundation models (TSFMs), often based on transformer variants, lack adaptability to different sampling rates, struggle with generalization across varying context and target lengths, and are computationally inefficient.

By Lars Graf, Thomas Ortner, Stanis{\l}aw Wo\'zniak, Angeliki Pantazi
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 18

SETTer: Sparse-Encoder Transformer for Long-term Multivariate Time Series Forecasting

SETTer is a transformer-based model designed for long‑term multivariate time‑series forecasting. It introduces decoupled self‑attention and hybrid masking to better handle high dimensionality and complex relationships, while adding explainable structures to highlight discriminative patterns. Experiments on real‑world benchmarks show that SETTer outperforms state‑of‑the‑art models in 88% of scenarios.

By Abraham Ezema, Chijioke Eze, Ferdinanda Ponci, Antonello Monti