arXiv Statistics ML

Multivariate conformal uncertainty propagation in multitask atomistic simulation: Successes and pitfalls

The paper explores multivariate conformal uncertainty propagation for multitask atomistic simulations, introducing methods such as Bonferroni‑corrected hyperrectangles, hyperellipsoidal sets based on Mahalanobis distance, and custom loss functions within conformal risk control. It applies these techniques to calibrate predictions of energies, forces, and stresses, then propagates the resulting uncertainty sets to downstream quantities like elastic constants and vacancy formation energies. The study emphasizes how incorporating correlation predictions can capture symmetries and error cancellation, and discusses the interaction between computational protocols and conformal guarantees.

arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 10

Atomistic Modeling of Chemical Disorder in Materials: Bridging Conventional Methods and AI-Assisted Approaches

The article reviews strategies for modeling chemical disorder in materials, addressing the gap between experimental descriptions of disorder and the detailed configurations required for atomistic simulations and AI workflows. It evaluates traditional approaches such as mean-field theories, cluster expansion, and Monte Carlo, alongside emerging AI-powered methods like universal interatomic potentials and generative models. The review also discusses how AI can accelerate computational schemes and enable disorder-native capabilities, providing a roadmap for integrating disorder into realistic AI-accelerated materials discovery.

By Jiayu Peng, Peichen Zhong
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 14

Structure-preserving uncertainty quantification for GENERIC dynamics

arXiv:2608. 12624v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Structure-preserving machine learning embeds physical structure directly into model architectures, yet uncertainty quantification (UQ) for such hard-constrained models remains limited because standard UQ methods may violate the encoded admissibility conditions, require architectural modifications, or impose substantial computational costs.

By Zequn He, Celia Reina
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 7

FastCSP: Accelerated Molecular Crystal Structure Prediction with Universal Model for Atoms

arXiv:2508. 02641v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Molecular crystal structure prediction (CSP) is essential for applications in pharmaceuticals and organic electronics.

By Vahe Gharakhanyan, Yi Yang, Luis Barroso-Luque, Daniel S. Levine, Sushree Jagriti Sahoo, Brandon M. Wood, Kyle Michel, Muhammed Shuaibi, Gregory J. O. Beran, Viachaslau Bernat, Misko Dzamba, Xiang Fu, Meng Gao, Xingyu Liu, Benjamin K. Miller, Keian Noori, Lafe J. Purvis, Tingling Rao, Ammar Rizvi, Matt Uyttendaele, Andrew J. Ouderkirk, Chiara Daraio, C. Lawrence Zitnick, Arman Boromand, Noa Marom, Zachary W. Ulissi, Anuroop Sriram
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 3

Set-Preserving Calibration from Conformal P-Values to E-Values

arXiv:2606. 03600v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Standard conformal prediction (CP) procedures are typically formulated in terms of p-values, but reliance on p-values alone limits flexibility, for example, when combining dependent evidence across models or data splits.

By Nabil Alami, Jad Zakharia, Souhaib Ben Taieb
arXiv AI
Aug 26

Learning the Kohn-Sham map with neural operators for quasi-linear scaling density functional theory

The paper presents a neural operator that learns the Kohn–Sham map, directly predicting electron density from the Kohn–Sham potential without orbital diagonalization. Using a domain‑invariant SE(3)‑equivariant Fourier neural operator trained on 8,504 molecules and solids, the model achieves quasi‑linear scaling self‑consistent field (SCF) convergence across diverse systems—including organic molecules, insulators, and metals—while reproducing Kohn–Sham DFT accuracy for densities, spectra, and structural observables. This enables large‑scale simulations, such as magnesium dislocation densities with 82,500 valence electrons, on a single GPU.

By Danish Khan, Maurice D. Hanisch, Nikolai Argatoff, Evan Xie, Sandeep Sharma, Anima Anandkumar
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 5

Conformal risk control for model-form uncertainty in parametric non-intrusive reduced-order models

arXiv:2608. 03360v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Non-intrusive reduced-order models (NIROMs) have become a standard tool for approximating parametric partial differential equations from computer design of experiments while significantly reducing computational costs.

By Edgar Jaber (CB, ENS Paris Saclay), R\'emy Vallot (CB, Michelin), Thibault Dairay (CB, Michelin), Mathilde Mougeot (CB, ENSIIE, ENS Paris Saclay)
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 9

Inverse design of bespoke interatomic potentials via active learning by information-matching

arXiv:2606. 08148v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Interatomic potentials (IPs) enable large-scale atomistic simulations beyond the reach of first-principles methods, but their predictive reliability depends critically on the selection of training data, quantified uncertainty, and model expressiveness.

By Yonatan Kurniawan (Department of Physics and Astronomy, Brigham Young University, Provo, UT, USA), Logan D. Williams (Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Livermore, CA, USA), Amit Samanta (Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Livermore, CA, USA), Ilia Nikiforov (Department of Aerospace Engineering and Mechanics, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN, USA), Daniel Schwalbe-Koda (Department of Materials Science and Engineering, University of California, Los Angeles, CA, USA), Mark K. Transtrum (Cross Stream Consulting, Springville, UT, USA), Ellad B. Tadmor (Department of Aerospace Engineering and Mechanics, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN, USA), Vincenzo Lordi (Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Livermore, CA, USA), Vasily V. Bulatov (Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Livermore, CA, USA)
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 1

ElemeNet: Multiscale Molecular Machine Learning with Uncertainty Quantification Across the Periodic Table

arXiv:2606. 30961v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Advances in deep learning architectures and representations have enabled ML-driven chemical property prediction, but state-of-the-art (SOTA) models have remained largely confined to independent codebases and lack support for diverse chemical species.

By Jacob W. Toney, Samir Darouich, Yiran Wang, Aaron G. Garrison, Johannes K\"astner, Heather J. Kulik
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 23

Boltzmann-Expected Molecular Design with Decoupled Annealing Flows

arXiv:2607. 19519v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Most 3D properties relevant to molecular design, including free energies and shape descriptors, are $\textit{expectations}$ over the Boltzmann distribution over 3D configurations of a molecular graph.

By Selma Moqvist, Richard Beckmann, Ross Irwin, Roc\'io Mercado, Simon Olsson
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 14

Physics-Informed Conformal Prediction: Embedding PDE Consistency into Distribution-Free Uncertainty Quantification for Neural Operators

Physics-Informed Conformal Prediction (PI‑CP) embeds PDE residuals into the nonconformity score of split conformal prediction, yielding distribution‑free prediction intervals with provable coverage that adapt spatially to physics violations. The method demonstrates consistent 89‑91% coverage across six physics scenarios, outperforming MC Dropout and Deep Ensembles, while Fourier Neural Operators (FNO) achieve superior accuracy over CNN and DeepONet. Additionally, the authors prove that FNO’s translation equivariance limits its ability to solve PDEs with Dirichlet boundary conditions, and show that adding coordinate channels can reduce error by up to 63×.

By Michael Chin