arXiv:2608. 03360v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Non-intrusive reduced-order models (NIROMs) have become a standard tool for approximating parametric partial differential equations from computer design of experiments while significantly reducing computational costs.
arXiv:2606. 08654v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: In this paper, we propose a perturbation-based conformal prediction framework for uncertainty quantification in operator learning, with a focus on the 2D Navier--Stokes equations.
The paper explores multivariate conformal uncertainty propagation for multitask atomistic simulations, introducing methods such as Bonferroni‑corrected hyperrectangles, hyperellipsoidal sets based on Mahalanobis distance, and custom loss functions within conformal risk control. It applies these techniques to calibrate predictions of energies, forces, and stresses, then propagates the resulting uncertainty sets to downstream quantities like elastic constants and vacancy formation energies. The study emphasizes how incorporating correlation predictions can capture symmetries and error cancellation, and discusses the interaction between computational protocols and conformal guarantees.
arXiv:2607. 16675v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: A point prediction that is well calibrated on average can still be systematically biased conditional on its own value, undermining its use in downstream decision-making.
arXiv:2606. 09923v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Neural operators such as the Fourier Neural Operator (FNO) have emerged as powerful surrogates for solving partial differential equations (PDEs), achieving speedups of several orders of magnitude over traditional numerical solvers.
arXiv:2606. 31915v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: While conformal prediction provides a general framework for uncertainty quantification in predictive inference, its application is often limited by computational cost.
arXiv:2606. 11650v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Recent advances in scientific machine learning provide a means of near-real-time solution to partial differential equations (PDEs), but lack the theoretical underpinnings of conventional simulators that support contemporary verification and validation.
arXiv:2608. 12624v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Structure-preserving machine learning embeds physical structure directly into model architectures, yet uncertainty quantification (UQ) for such hard-constrained models remains limited because standard UQ methods may violate the encoded admissibility conditions, require architectural modifications, or impose substantial computational costs.
arXiv:2606. 13796v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Recursive training of generative models on their own outputs can lead to model collapse, a compounding drift away from the true data distribution.
The paper introduces a score‑calibrated robustness framework that transforms any fixed point predictor into a decision‑relevant uncertainty representation using distribution‑free conformal calibration. By employing the conformal score as the core unit of robustness, the authors derive both reliability‑based robust optimization and target‑oriented Conformal Robust Satisficing formulations, linking them through a shared robust decision frontier and a fragility measure. Experiments on synthetic data and a real online‑grocery inventory case study demonstrate the framework’s ability to improve reliability, reduce costs, and provide interpretable uncertainty scales for black‑box predictors.
arXiv:2507. 20975v5 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Operator models are regression algorithms between Banach spaces of functions.
arXiv:2512.12749v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Learning surrogate models for physical systems with latent uncertainty remains challenging in data-scarce regimes: deterministic neural opera...
arXiv:2606. 03600v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Standard conformal prediction (CP) procedures are typically formulated in terms of p-values, but reliance on p-values alone limits flexibility, for example, when combining dependent evidence across models or data splits.