arXiv:2608. 12271v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Global weather reanalyses and forecasts resolve the evolving atmospheric state on coarse grids, but site-specific applications require predictions at arbitrary locations where near-surface conditions also depend on unresolved terrain and land-surface properties.
By Pedro Sousa (Department of Computer Science, University of Cambridge), Will Tebbutt (Department of Engineering, University of Cambridge), Sadiq Jaffer (Department of Computer Science, University of Cambridge), Robin Young (Department of Computer Science, University of Cambridge), Anil Madhavapeddy (Department of Computer Science, University of Cambridge), Richard E. Turner (Department of Engineering, University of Cambridge)
arXiv:2607. 03279v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Accurate regional weather prediction requires resolving fine-scale structure while remaining consistent with global dynamics.
By Wiktor Kamzela, Jakub Kubiak, Adam Dobosz, J\k{e}drzej Miczke, Anatol Kaczmarek, Piotr Wyrwi\'nski, Wojciech Stefaniak, Wojciech Kot{\l}owski
arXiv:2606. 11793v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Uncertainty in the terrestrial carbon cycle remains a major constraint in climate projections, partly driven by the uncertainties affecting the land surface representation and variability in Earth system models.
By Amirpasha Mozaffari, Marina Casta\~no, Stefano Materia, Etienne Tourigny, Oscar Molina-Sedano, Jordi Varela-Agrelo, Dario Garcia-Gasulla, Miguel Castrillo Melguizo, Mario Acosta, Amanda Duarte
arXiv:2605. 16163v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Skillful medium-range precipitation forecasting at kilometer scale remains challenging over complex terrain because precipitation arises from multiscale nonlinear processes that global models cannot explicitly resolve at affordable cost.
By Dan Assouline, Erwan Koch, Federico Amato, Filippo Quarenghi, Daniele Nerini, Thibaut Loiseau, Kyle van de Langemheen, Tom Beucler
arXiv:2509. 09195v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Current evaluation metrics for deep learning weather models create a "Statistical Similarity Trap", rewarding blurry predictions while missing rare, high-impact events.
By Md Tanveer Hossain Munim
arXiv:2606. 08563v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: While global data-driven models excel at predicting continuous atmospheric variables, three-dimensional hydrometeor forecasting remains challenging due to the zero-inflated, long-tailed distributions of these variables.
By Dandan Chen, Yaqiang Wang
arXiv:2607. 04190v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Global reanalysis products such as ERA5-Land provide spatially complete weather fields but at resolutions too coarse for local applications, particularly in mountainous regions where temperature can vary by several degrees over short distances.
By Francisco Passos
arXiv:2606. 11793v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Uncertainty in the terrestrial carbon cycle remains a major constraint in climate projections, partly driven by the uncertainties affecting the land surface representation and variability in Earth system models.
By Amirpasha Mozaffari, Marina Casta\~no, Stefano Materia, Etienne Tourigny, Oscar Molina-Sedano, Jordi Varela-Agrelo, Dario Garcia-Gasulla, Miguel Castrillo Melguizo, Mario Acosta, Amanda Duarte
arXiv:2607. 18504v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Benchmarks for Geospatial Foundation Models (GFMs) increasingly rank models by aggregate score, but such rankings obscure why models differ: how much of the gap is architecture, how much is decoder capacity, and how much is a use-case-specific artefact?
By Frederick Schindlegger, Kenzo Bounegta, Eva Gmelich Meijling, Johannes Jakubik, Arnt-B{\o}rre Salberg, Theodor Forgaard, Nicolas Longepe, Valerio Marsocci
arXiv:2602. 13416v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: The proliferation of data-driven models in weather and climate sciences has marked a significant paradigm shift, with advanced models demonstrating exceptional skill in medium-range forecasting.
By Haiwen Guan, Dibyajyoti Chakraborty, Moein Darman, Troy Arcomano, Ashesh Chattopadhyay, Romit Maulik
arXiv:2506. 19340v4 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Whole-atmosphere models such as WACCM-X resolve coupling from the Earth surface to the Mesosphere-Lower-Thermosphere (MLT), and Ionosphere-Thermosphere (IT) systems with expensive computational costs.
By Jiahui Hu, Wenjun Dong
arXiv:2606. 02610v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Ocean general circulation models (OGCMs) are essential to climate science but computationally expensive, limiting ensemble size and forcing scenarios.
By Yuan Yuan, Jesse Rusak, Alexander Merose, Adam Subel, Pavel Perezhogin, Alistair Adcroft, Carlos Fernandez-Granda, Laure Zanna