arXiv:2609.15087v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Most time series forecasting benchmarks remain numerical-centric and provide limited support for evaluating contextual information that shapes real-w...
arXiv:2607. 06973v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: We introduce a new context-enriched, multimodal time series forecasting benchmark, TimesX.
The paper introduces DualEvasion, a benchmark that evaluates evasion detection in earnings call Q&A using both textual transcripts and vocal cues. It contains 505 annotated question‑answer pairs from 60 calls, each labeled for textual evasion (direct vs. evasive) and speaker confidence (confident vs. unconfident). Experiments show that current multimodal models struggle to detect vocal confidence, especially in unconfident responses, and that providing speaker‑level references only modestly improves performance, leaving a significant gap compared to humans.
arXiv:2606. 24950v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Financial decision-making is contextual: forecasting prices, valuing companies, and assessing event exposure weigh price history, accounting fundamentals, macroeconomic regime, and contemporaneous text.
The paper introduces a synthetic benchmark for multimodal time‑series forecasting that evaluates how well text annotations contribute to predictions. By generating controlled signals with semantically correct, incorrect, and irrelevant annotations, the authors can precisely measure the true information content. Six mutual‑information estimators (KSG, MINE, InfoNCE, CCA, PID, and V‑information) are tested, all correctly ranking useful annotations and enabling annotation auditing without model training. The benchmark also highlights each estimator’s limitations and validates findings on seven real datasets, providing practical guidelines for metric implementation.
arXiv:2509.24789v5 Announce Type: replace Abstract: The evaluation of time series forecasting models is hindered by a lack of high-quality benchmarks, leading to overestimated assessments of progress...
arXiv:2609.13893v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Earnings conference calls are a primary channel through which managers disclose information under analyst scrutiny. Prior work has linked vocal and lex...
We introduce Earnings25, a finance-domain benchmark for evaluating automatic speech recognition (ASR) on English-language earnings calls under realistic conditions. Earnings25 comprises two complementary test sets: (i) testset-full, 498 hours of full English-language S&P 500 earnings calls from Q4 2025, and (ii) testset-segmented, a 46-hour industry-balanced set of 290 segments sampled from English-language U.
arXiv:2607. 23813v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We introduce Earnings25, a finance-domain benchmark for evaluating automatic speech recognition (ASR) on English-language earnings calls under realistic conditions.
The paper presents the CDSP (context-conditional deliberation signal pipeline), which transforms investment committee meeting transcripts into structured predictive features. CDSP segments transcripts into topical chunks, assigns asset‑class context labels via a large language model, maps financial keywords to a taxonomy, and adds sentiment polarity and mention frequency features. Using these engineered features on 48 monthly meetings, the best model—combining sentence embeddings with CDSP features—achieves 73% accuracy and a 0.73 F1 score, outperforming a simple stock‑choice baseline, though the improvement is not statistically significant.
arXiv:2505.17613v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Automatically evaluating multimodal generation presents a significant challenge, as automated metrics often struggle to align with human evaluation...
The paper investigates whether multimodal time‑series forecasting models actually use the semantic content of accompanying text. By systematically perturbing the text—replacing it with empty, constant, shuffled, or cross‑domain sentences—the authors find that mean squared error changes by less than 0.5 % across several architectures, indicating that text does not drive performance gains. They also show that removing a co‑shipped numeric column restores the reported improvements, suggesting that the models rely on other signals rather than textual semantics.