The paper presents the CDSP (context-conditional deliberation signal pipeline), which transforms investment committee meeting transcripts into structured predictive features. CDSP segments transcripts into topical chunks, assigns asset‑class context labels via a large language model, maps financial keywords to a taxonomy, and adds sentiment polarity and mention frequency features. Using these engineered features on 48 monthly meetings, the best model—combining sentence embeddings with CDSP features—achieves 73% accuracy and a 0.73 F1 score, outperforming a simple stock‑choice baseline, though the improvement is not statistically significant.
arXiv:2607. 14174v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Financial sentiment extraction has largely relied on news text and supervised extraction against return labels alone, leaving 10-K filings -- and volatility, the target risk disclosure is arguably best suited to informing -- comparatively unexplored.
The paper evaluates twelve financial sentiment models—including dictionary-based methods, finance-specific transformers, and open-source large language models—using linguistic and economic validity criteria. General-purpose LLMs match finance-specific transformers in classification performance but do not yield stronger economic relationships. While several models correlate with earnings surprises, none shows a significant link to next‑day stock returns, and performance is strongest for large earnings beats or misses.
arXiv:2608. 09834v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Financial sentiment analysis converts unstructured financial news into quantitative signals that can support market analysis and decision-making.
arXiv:2608. 07208v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Existing measures of how much a text is about a concept read the surface of the text: dictionary word shares, topic proportions, embedding similarities.
The study examines whether financial sentiment tools that are validated against human labels also reliably predict market outcomes. Using a large corpus of securities class action messages linked to abnormal stock returns, the authors compare five sentiment instruments—VADER, Loughran‑McDonald, FinBERT, Twitter‑RoBERTa, and an LLM annotator—within a single pipeline. Results show that the alignment between human agreement and sentiment scores varies with sampling strategy and time horizon: conventional sampling favors same‑day associations, while fixed‑n panels yield similar correlations for both same‑day and one‑day‑ahead predictions, yet overall predictive rankings remain weak.
arXiv:2606. 18192v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: As high-quality public web corpora become increasingly exhausted, clean long-context documents have become a scarce and expensive source of training data for large language models (LLMs).
This paper presents an empirical comparison of lexicon-based and Large Language Model (LLM)-based sentiment analysis for extracting market-relevant signals from social media discourse in highly volatile equity markets. Using Reddit data from r/WallStreetBets and focusing on meme stocks (GME, AMC, NOK), we construct time-aligned sentiment indicators and evaluate their relationship with market returns, with particular attention to extreme positive return events in the upper tail of the return distribution.
arXiv:2609.38523v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Financial forecasting from earnings conference calls requires models to reason over complex corporate disclosures, market expectations, and subtle co...
The paper examines whether human agreement and return association can be used interchangeably as criteria for validating sentiment tools in financial NLP. Using a large corpus of securities class action messages linked to abnormal stock returns, the authors compare five sentiment instruments and find that the relationship between human agreement and predictive validity varies with sampling conventions and score representations. They conclude that benchmark agreement establishes semantic validity but does not guarantee predictive rankings, and that message volume in a spam‑heavy conversation does not predict market damage or settlement size.
The paper introduces a training‑free, alignment‑free method for corporate intelligence that uses deterministic sparse seed vectors to hash word strings into a fixed high‑dimensional basis. By accumulating these seed vectors across sentence contexts, the authors create corpus‑specific semantic signatures that enable rapid document comparison, issuer fingerprinting, vocabulary shift tracking, and thematic sentence extraction—all on standard CPU hardware. Applied to a multi‑year set of SEC filings, the approach reveals distinct semantic profiles for major corporate events such as Boeing’s 737 MAX crisis, Intel’s supply‑chain disruptions, and Bunge’s acquisition of Viterra, with each profile traceable to its source sentences without any domain‑specific training or LLM inference.
arXiv:2609.23703v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Financial language models can transform unstructured firm-specific news into structured decision signals, but financial AI research lacks an integrat...
arXiv:2608. 19558v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Financial AI systems often train information extractors on one textual register and deploy them across filings, news, and user-generated content, while standard F1 scores do not indicate which predictions remain safe to automate when the input distribution changes.