arXiv:2609.15087v1 Announce Type: cross
Abstract: Most time series forecasting benchmarks remain numerical-centric and provide limited support for evaluating contextual information that shapes real-w...
By Peng Chen, Zhihao Zhuang, Hongzhou Chen, Junhao Huang, Aiping Yang, Mengsen Wu, Yiding Liu, Xilin Dai, Zewei Dong
arXiv:2509.24789v5 Announce Type: replace
Abstract: The evaluation of time series forecasting models is hindered by a lack of high-quality benchmarks, leading to overestimated assessments of progress...
By Zhijian Xu, Wanxu Cai, Xilin Dai, Zhaorong Deng, Qiang Xu
arXiv:2609.24156v1 Announce Type: cross
Abstract: Most existing time series forecasting methods rely solely on numerical observations, overlooking rich contextual information from auxiliary texts. Re...
By Jiayi Liang, Xiaotian Gu, Xinyu Xie, Yuanbin Wu, Xiaoling Wang
The paper introduces TiMi, a framework that enhances time series transformers with a Multimodal Mixture-of-Experts (MMoE) module to incorporate multimodal data, especially textual information, into forecasting. TiMi leverages large language models to generate future inferences that guide predictions, eliminating the need for explicit representation alignment. Experiments show TiMi achieves state‑of‑the‑art performance on sixteen real‑world multimodal forecasting benchmarks, outperforming advanced baselines while maintaining adaptability and interpretability.
By Jiafeng Lin, Yuxuan Wang, Huakun Luo, Jianmin Wang, Zhongyi Pei
arXiv:2603. 12451v4 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Context-aided forecasting (CAF) holds promise for integrating domain knowledge and forward-looking information, enabling AI systems to surpass traditional statistical methods.
By Vincent Zhihao Zheng, \'Etienne Marcotte, Arjun Ashok, Andrew Robert Williams, Lijun Sun, Alexandre Drouin, Valentina Zantedeschi
arXiv:2602. 01588v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Multimodal time series forecasting is crucial in real-world applications, where decisions depend on both numerical data and contextual signals.
By Huu Hiep Nguyen, Minh Hoang Nguyen, Dung Nguyen, Hung Le
The paper introduces a synthetic benchmark for multimodal time‑series forecasting that evaluates how well text annotations contribute to predictions. By generating controlled signals with semantically correct, incorrect, and irrelevant annotations, the authors can precisely measure the true information content. Six mutual‑information estimators (KSG, MINE, InfoNCE, CCA, PID, and V‑information) are tested, all correctly ranking useful annotations and enabling annotation auditing without model training. The benchmark also highlights each estimator’s limitations and validates findings on seven real datasets, providing practical guidelines for metric implementation.
By Emma Andrews, Gianmarco Mengaldo
arXiv:2606. 16173v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: High-quality time series forecasting is pivotal for real-world decision-making.
By Zhi Chen, Yuxuan Wang, Jialong Wu, Yong Liu, Haoran Zhang, Xingjian Su, Jianmin Wang, Mingsheng Long
arXiv:2602. 12147v4 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Time series foundation models (TSFMs) are revolutionizing the forecasting landscape from specific dataset modeling to generalizable task evaluation.
By Zhongzheng Qiao, Sheng Pan, Anni Wang, Viktoriya Zhukova, Yong Liu, Xudong Jiang, Qingsong Wen, Mingsheng Long, Ming Jin, Chenghao Liu
ChronoSteer is a decoupled agentic framework that bridges large language models and time series foundation models by learning cross‑modal alignment from synthetic paired supervision. It converts textual events into revision instructions that steer a frozen time‑series model, discretizes these instructions into a compact codebook to reduce semantic divergence, and then refines the predictions with a two‑stage training strategy. The authors also release a leakage‑controlled multimodal benchmark and report a 25.8% improvement in zero‑shot prediction accuracy over the unimodal backbone.
By Chengsen Wang, Qi Qi, Zhongwen Rao, Lujia Pan, Jingyu Wang
arXiv:2603. 22372v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Recent advances in multimodal learning have motivated the integration of auxiliary modalities such as text or vision into time series (TS) forecasting.
By Seunghan Lee, Jun Seo, Jaehoon Lee, Sungdong Yoo, Minjae Kim, Tae Yoon Lim, Dongwan Kang, Hwanil Choi, SoonYoung Lee, Wonbin Ahn
WorldTS is a new forecasting framework that models latent dynamics conditioned on multimodal covariates to improve time‑series prediction. It uses a two‑stage training process: first learning latent state dynamics from historical data and covariates, then training a decoder to map predicted latent states back to future observations. Experiments on 21 real‑world datasets demonstrate the effectiveness of this approach.
By Yuhan Zhu, Xiangfei Qiu, Hanyin Cheng, Wangmeng Shen, Chenjuan Guo, Bin Yang, Jilin Hu, Christian S. Jensen