arXiv Machine Learning

Deep Learning and Elicitability for McKean-Vlasov FBSDEs With Common Noise

arXiv:2512. 14967v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: We present a novel numerical method for solving McKean--Vlasov forward--backward stochastic differential equations (MV--FBSDEs) with common noise, combining Picard iterations, elicitability and deep learning.

Hugging Face Trending Papers
Jun 23

Deep numerical schemes for systems of Ergodic BSDEs with applications to regime-switching forward utilities

In this paper, we introduce two neural-network-based numerical schemes for solving systems of coupled ergodic Backward Stochastic Differential Equations (eBSDEs), motivated by the approximation of optimal strategies within the framework of forward utilities in a regime-switching stochastic factor model. Our approach builds on the representation of such models through systems of eBSDEs introduced in [HLT20].

arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 24

Deep numerical schemes for systems of Ergodic BSDEs with applications to regime-switching forward utilities

arXiv:2606. 24271v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: In this paper, we introduce two neural-network-based numerical schemes for solving systems of coupled ergodic Backward Stochastic Differential Equations (eBSDEs), motivated by the approximation of optimal strategies within the framework of forward utilities in a regime-switching stochastic factor model.

By Guillaume Broux-Quemerais (LMM), Sarah Kaakai (LAGA), Anis Matoussi (LMM), Wissal Sabbagh (LMM)
arXiv AI
6d ago

Insurance Reserve Intelligence Platform

The paper introduces an Insurance Reserve Intelligence Platform that blends a classical Thiele-equation solver with a Physics-Informed Neural Network (PINN) enhanced by Knowledge-Informed Neural Network (KINN) losses for term-life reserve modeling. It generates synthetic policies, calculates risk-adjusted premiums, and constructs reserve-ratio datasets, then trains a neural model using seven features to predict standardized reserve ratios, achieving high accuracy (R² = 0.9887) and a 119.53× speedup over the classical solver. The framework also supports sensitivity analysis, elasticity analysis, prototype optimization, and interest-rate scenario testing, while noting remaining challenges in monotonicity and out-of-distribution generalization.

By Anugya A, Saket Mohanty, Abhilash Timmapur, Somya Rai
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 26

Mean-Field PhiBE: Continuous-Time Mean-Field Reinforcement Learning from Discrete-Time Data

arXiv:2606. 26498v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: This paper addresses model-free continuous-time mean-field control in a setting where the population dynamics evolve continuously according to an unknown McKean-Vlasov stochastic differential equation, while only discrete-time transition data are available.

By Erhan Bayraktar, Martin Hernandez, Qinxin Yan, Yuhua Zhu
Hugging Face Trending Papers
Jun 25

Mean-Field PhiBE: Continuous-Time Mean-Field Reinforcement Learning from Discrete-Time Data

This paper addresses model-free continuous-time mean-field control in a setting where the population dynamics evolve continuously according to an unknown McKean-Vlasov stochastic differential equation, while only discrete-time transition data are available. In the model-based formulation, policy evaluation is naturally described by a stationary Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equation on $\mathcal P_2(\mathbb R^d)$, but this equation involves the drift and diffusion coefficients of the controlled McKean-Vlasov dynamics, which are not identifiable when only discrete-time data are available.