arXiv AI

A harmonised dataset for Earth system foundation models

arXiv:2607. 03298v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Foundation models for Earth systems have so far been trained primarily on physical climate and weather data, with limited representation of the human systems that both drive and respond to environmental change.

arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 31

Foundation-Model Earth Representations Enable Regional-Scale Forest Aboveground Biomass Monitoring Across the Northeastern United States

arXiv:2607. 27217v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Forest aboveground biomass (AGB) is a critical indicator of ecosystem productivity and terrestrial carbon storage, yet regional carbon monitoring remains constrained by the sparse spatial and temporal availability of field inventories and airborne structural measurements.

By Shashika Lamahewage, Chandi Witharana
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 20

DELUGE: Towards Continental-Scale Daily Pluvial Flood Damage Prediction via Interpretable Conditioning on Foundation Model Embeddings

arXiv:2607. 16050v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Pluvial (rainfall-driven) flooding accounts for 45% of National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims in the United States and is harder to predict than its riverine and coastal counterparts, with existing approaches limited to coarse resolution, regional domains, or computationally intensive process-based models unsuitable for daily continental-scale use.

By Yuya Kawakami, Daniel Cayan, Dongyu Liu, Kwan-Liu Ma, Tom Corringham
arXiv AI
Sep 10

Earth System World Model for What-If Simulations: A Case Study for Terrestrial Ecosystems

The paper introduces an action‑conditioned world‑modeling framework that turns Earth‑system simulator trajectories into training data for controllable state‑transition learning. By pretraining on naturally observed state changes as implicit action supervision and using masked response learning, the model can infer unobserved variables and learn coupled system dependencies. Experiments on ecosystem dynamics across six global regions demonstrate that the model maintains long‑horizon emulation accuracy while enabling structural interventions and coherent responses in coupled ecosystem‑cycle variables.

By Zhihao Wang, Ruichen Wang, Ruohan Li, Lei Ma, George Hurtt, Xiaowei Jia, Gengchen Mai, Shaowen Wang, Yiqun Xie
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 4

Obshazard-bench: Benchmarking Multimodal Foundation Models for Real-Time Disaster Intelligence from Raw Earth Observation Streams

arXiv:2608. 00012v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Multimodal Large Language Models (MLLMs) are increasingly used to interpret Earth observation data, yet their capability to support real-world disaster emergency response remains insufficiently evaluated.

By Fengxiang Wang, Qiuyang Yu, Yueying Li, Mingshuo Chen, Chengchi Fei, Kaiyi Xu, Lixin Gu, Wangxu Wei, Junchao Gong, Lipeng Ma, Jiong Wang, Fenghua Ling, Wenlong Zhang, Xue Yang, Wenjing Yang, Ben Fei, Long Lan
arXiv AI
Jun 12

Scalable Deep Learning Framework for Global High-Resolution Land Use Reconstruction

arXiv:2606. 11793v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Uncertainty in the terrestrial carbon cycle remains a major constraint in climate projections, partly driven by the uncertainties affecting the land surface representation and variability in Earth system models.

By Amirpasha Mozaffari, Marina Casta\~no, Stefano Materia, Etienne Tourigny, Oscar Molina-Sedano, Jordi Varela-Agrelo, Dario Garcia-Gasulla, Miguel Castrillo Melguizo, Mario Acosta, Amanda Duarte
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 27

Planetary Prediction Engine: Autonomous Geospatial Prediction via Intelligent Data Selection and Foundation Model Embeddings

The Planetary Prediction Engine (PPE) is an autonomous AI system that transforms natural-language queries into end-to-end geospatial predictions. It automatically retrieves and fuses multimodal datasets from open-web and Earth observation sources, incorporates foundation model embeddings, and searches task‑specific model families with overfitting safeguards. Across multiple domains, PPE outperforms state‑of‑the‑art baselines, improving regression metrics for CDC health indicators, FEMA risk indices, and the Social Vulnerability Index, doubling accuracy for Nigerian food security indicators, and achieving higher recall in Ebola outbreak nowcasting.

By Evelyn Ma, Rama Kumar Pasumarthi, Kishwar Shafin, Mandar Sharma, Mimi Sun, Hamed Sadeghi, Dav M. Ebengo, Mbulayi Onesime, Rouslan Solomakhin, John Wamburu, William Ogallo, Aisha Walcott-Bryant, Sanxing Chen, Arbaaz Muslim, Yael Mayer, Ronald Ho, Roy Lee, Ruth Alcantara, Abdoulaye Diack, Monica Bharel, Lambert Rosique, Jeremy Amez-Droz, Christopher Haire, James Manyika, Yossi Matias, Niv Efron, Gautam Prasad, Shravya Shetty
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 4

Geospatial Foundation Models to Enable Progress on Sustainable Development Goals

arXiv:2505. 24528v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Foundation Models (FMs) are large-scale, pre-trained artificial intelligence (AI) systems that have revolutionized natural language processing and computer vision, and are now advancing geospatial analysis and Earth Observation (EO).

By Pedram Ghamisi, Weikang Yu, Xiaokang Zhang, Aldino Rizaldy, Jian Wang, Chufeng Zhou, Richard Gloaguen, Gustau Camps-Valls