arXiv Machine Learning

TWIG: A Time-Causal Wavelet Operator for Autoregressive Forecasting on Irregular Graphs

TWIG (Time‑Causal Wavelet Operator for Irregular Graphs) is a graph‑native neural operator designed for autoregressive surrogate modeling on static irregular graphs. It transforms each node’s history into causal multiscale temporal features, separating recent changes from slower memory components, and propagates these through graph‑wavelet operator blocks with gated pointwise channel mixing. The architecture is causal by construction, enabling closed‑loop forecasting where predictions are recursively reused as future inputs, and it consistently outperforms non‑time‑causal baselines across three irregular‑domain forecasting problems.

arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 18

INDEQS: Informed Neural controlled Differential EQuationS

arXiv:2606. 19138v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Neural Controlled Differential Equations (NCDE) provide a powerful continuous-time framework for forecasting time series, but standard graph-based extensions typically learn spatial structure purely from data, even in settings where a directed graph structure is known a priori.

By Michael Detzel, Gabriel Nobis, Kristiyan Blagov, Juri Schubert, Jackie Ma, Wojciech Samek
arXiv Machine Learning
1d ago

Physics-Refined Spatiotemporal Forecasting on Open-Boundary Hydrologic Graphs

The paper introduces a physics‑refined framework for spatiotemporal forecasting on open‑boundary hydrologic graphs, addressing instability caused by missing external boundary forcing. It learns ghost node proxies to approximate unobserved inputs and applies two physics refiners: one enforcing local consistency with two‑hop neighbors, and another using a physics‑guided graph neural operator to reduce long‑horizon drift. Experiments on two real‑world hydrologic graphs show improved prediction accuracy and stability compared to existing learning‑based and physics‑informed models.

By Haoyang Jiang, Zhengui Wang, Shenghan Gao, Y. Joseph Zhang, Xingquan Zhu, Yi He
Hugging Face Trending Papers
Sep 24

Neuralized Multi-Wavelet Decomposition for Time Series Classification and Forecasting

The paper introduces m-WCN, an end‑to‑end deep learning framework that neuralizes multi‑wavelet decomposition to jointly extract temporal patterns and frequency components from time series. It enforces orthogonality constraints to produce interpretable multi‑resolution representations, and builds two task‑specific architectures—TFBC for classification and FTB for forecasting—on top of this foundation. Experiments on 64 UCR datasets and seven forecasting benchmarks show that TFBC and FTB outperform baseline models, achieving average improvements of about 20% in both classification and forecasting tasks.

arXiv AI
Jun 26

Speaking Numbers to LLMs: Multi-Wavelet Number Embeddings for Time Series Forecasting

arXiv:2606. 26487v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Large language models (LLMs) are attractive for context-aware time series forecasting because they can integrate heterogeneous textual signals, yet their discrete, language-oriented tokenization and embedding interfaces are misaligned with continuous numerical values, often harming numerical ordering and forecasting reliability.

By Defu Cao, Zijie Lei, Muyan Weng, Jiao Sun, Yan Liu
arXiv AI
Sep 25

Neuralized Multi-Wavelet Decomposition for Time Series Classification and Forecasting

The paper introduces m-WCN, an end‑to‑end deep learning framework that neuralizes multi‑wavelet decomposition to jointly extract temporal patterns and frequency components from time series. Two task‑specific architectures built on m‑WCN—TFBC for classification and FTB for forecasting—are shown to outperform baseline models on 64 UCR datasets and seven forecasting benchmarks, achieving average improvements of nearly 20% in both tasks. The approach leverages trainable convolutional operators and orthogonality constraints to produce interpretable multi‑resolution representations.

By Xiaohan Jiang, Jingyuan Wang, Jiahao Ji, Yongyao Wang, Chen Yang, Junjie Wu