arXiv Machine Learning

INDEQS: Informed Neural controlled Differential EQuationS

arXiv:2606. 19138v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Neural Controlled Differential Equations (NCDE) provide a powerful continuous-time framework for forecasting time series, but standard graph-based extensions typically learn spatial structure purely from data, even in settings where a directed graph structure is known a priori.

arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 22

TWIG: A Time-Causal Wavelet Operator for Autoregressive Forecasting on Irregular Graphs

TWIG (Time‑Causal Wavelet Operator for Irregular Graphs) is a graph‑native neural operator designed for autoregressive surrogate modeling on static irregular graphs. It transforms each node’s history into causal multiscale temporal features, separating recent changes from slower memory components, and propagates these through graph‑wavelet operator blocks with gated pointwise channel mixing. The architecture is causal by construction, enabling closed‑loop forecasting where predictions are recursively reused as future inputs, and it consistently outperforms non‑time‑causal baselines across three irregular‑domain forecasting problems.

By Subashree Venkatasubramanian, David A. Barajas-Solano, Chuyang Liu, Daniel M. Tartakovsky, Dipankar Dwivedi
Hugging Face Trending Papers
Aug 7

When GNNs Fail: Quantifying and Overcoming Temporal Correlation Volatility in Time Series

Modeling multivariate time series by representing them as graphs, where individual series act as nodes and pairwise temporal corre- lations serve as edges, has gained significant traction. Recent advances in Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) have demonstrated strong perfor- mance by assuming a static graph topology and aggregating information from neighboring series.

arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 21

Learning to Advect: A Neural Semi-Lagrangian Architecture for Weather Forecasting

arXiv:2601.21151v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Machine-learning approaches to weather forecasting often employ a monolithic architecture in which distinct physical mechanisms, such as advection,...

By Carlos A. Pereira, St\'ephane Gaudreault, Valentin Dallerit, Christopher Subich, Shoyon Panday, Siqi Wei, Sasa Zhang, Siddharth Rout, Eldad Haber, Raymond J. Spiteri, David Millard
arXiv Machine Learning
1d ago

Physics-Refined Spatiotemporal Forecasting on Open-Boundary Hydrologic Graphs

The paper introduces a physics‑refined framework for spatiotemporal forecasting on open‑boundary hydrologic graphs, addressing instability caused by missing external boundary forcing. It learns ghost node proxies to approximate unobserved inputs and applies two physics refiners: one enforcing local consistency with two‑hop neighbors, and another using a physics‑guided graph neural operator to reduce long‑horizon drift. Experiments on two real‑world hydrologic graphs show improved prediction accuracy and stability compared to existing learning‑based and physics‑informed models.

By Haoyang Jiang, Zhengui Wang, Shenghan Gao, Y. Joseph Zhang, Xingquan Zhu, Yi He